Our Predictions
Iceland are coming off a huge 5-0 win over Azerbaijan and look far stronger on both sides of the ball. Bookmakers strongly back the visitors at 1.53, with Azerbaijan still licking wounds from their opening loss and showing poor home form lately.
Four of the last five games involving these teams have gone over 2.5 goals. Each of Iceland’s last matches has been open with chances at both ends. Over 2.5 goals at 1.80 has value given Azerbaijan’s defensive struggles and Iceland’s current scoring form.
Azerbaijan failed to register in their last match versus Iceland and average just 0.2 goals per game recently. Iceland’s defense can hold firm, especially on the road. Odds are balanced, but the value leans No at 1.91.
Accumulator odds
Welcome to Extratips: Azerbaijan vs Iceland – World Cup Qualifier Preview
The stakes are high as Azerbaijan hosts Iceland on November 13, 2025, at 17:00 in World Cup Qualification action. Iceland stormed past Azerbaijan in their last meeting, winning 5-0, showing real firepower and leaving Azerbaijan with a point to prove.
Odds Snapshot
- Iceland to win: 1.53
- Draw: 4.20
- Azerbaijan to win: 5.20
Bookmakers make Iceland clear favorites, and it's no surprise after their strong start in the group stage.
Standings & Motivation
Iceland sits 2nd, with 3 points (+5 GD), while Azerbaijan is 4th, no points, after their tough opening loss. Iceland will look to build their momentum, while Azerbaijan needs points to stay in contention and repair their goal difference.
Head-to-Head & Recent Form
The last five direct meetings: Iceland 5-0 Azerbaijan (Sep 2025); prior meetings show little recent history, with one draw and no wins for Azerbaijan.
- Azerbaijan’s last 5 home: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses (0.2 goals scored/game, 2.8 conceded).
- Iceland’s last 5 away: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses (1.4 goals scored/game, 2.6 conceded).
Key Factors & Team News
Azerbaijan has a full squad, but Iceland misses Sævar Atli Magnusson (injury).
Strengths
- Azerbaijan: Solid keepers under pressure, can defend deep, force free kicks.
- Iceland: Clinical in attack (5 different scorers last game), strong set-pieces, organized midfield.
Weaknesses
- Azerbaijan: Struggle for goals, leaky defense, low morale after big defeat.
- Iceland: Away inconsistency, sometimes overexposed at the back, prone to lapses late in games.
Storylines to Watch
- Bounce-Back Factor: Will Azerbaijan respond after a bruising loss?
- Iceland’s Ruthless Edge: Can they maintain scoring form on the road?
- Key Absences: Will Magnusson’s injury limit Iceland’s flexibility?
Potential Match Scenarios
- Iceland dominate and win by 2+ goals (high chance).
- Azerbaijan defend for a draw, keep it under 2.5 goals (medium chance).
- An open game, both sides bagging a goal (medium chance).
This one shapes up as another tough night for Azerbaijan unless they find resolve fast.