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Expert Prediction

POR
60%
Draw
23.6%
BRA
16.4%

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Porto

Porto and Braga play at Estádio Do Dragão, in a match for the 17 th round of the Sagres League. At this stadium, the head ‑ to ‑ head history favors the home team, since they have a record of 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 26‑02‑2019, in a match for the Taça de Portugal, Porto won by (3‑0). The goals of the match were scored by Alex Telles (37 '), Tiquinho (63') and Y. Brahimi (90 ') for Porto.

The home team is currently in the 2 nd position, with 41 points won, after 13 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss. In the penultimate round, they have won an away match against Sporting by (1‑2). In the last match, they won in an away match against Moreirense, by (2‑4). In their last match, for the Taça de Portugal, they got a home win against Varzim by (2‑1).

In this competition, they have a sequence of 7 wins in the last home matches. In their home matches some results were repeated more often: at half ‑ time 2‑0 (3 out of 7 matches) and 1‑0 (4 out of 7 matches) and after 90 '3‑0 (3 out of 7 matches) ). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. They do not usually have difficulty opening the scoring: they managed to score the first goal in 12 of their last 16 Liga Sagres matches, of which 12 reached the halftime lead in 11 and were able to maintain the lead until the end of the match. In 16 matches for this competition, they have only turned the score around in 1 in the 4 matches for which they have conceded the first goal. There are 2 periods that stand out in the last 16 home matches in all competitions: they have conceded 3 of their 8 goals between minutes (31' ‑ 45 ') and 3 of their 8 goals (0'‑ 15').

The Porto team comes to this 17th round that completes the first round of the NOS League, in the runner-up of the classification, with four points disadvantage for Benfica. Despite the good campaign carried out by the team led by Sérgio Conceição, the dragons have lagged behind their rivals and are looking to capitalize on the eventual loss of eagles' points in the derby against Sporting. In the last round, Porto won in a difficult match against Moreirense, 4-2, with goals scored by Soares, Alex Telles, Luis Díaz and Corona, declaring the turn after the goal conceded very early in the match. However, already after this, the blue-and-white team again failed to convince at all but managed to qualify for the Portuguese Cup semi-finals by beating Varzim at home last Tuesday 2-1.


Sporting Braga

After 7 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, the visiting team is in the 5th position, having won 24 points. In the last match, they have won at home against Tondela by (2‑1), after in the previous match they have won (1‑7) an away match against Belenenses. In the league, Braga have won 10 points out of 24 possible, after 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 8 away matches. In their away league matches, the most frequent result at the end of the first 45 'was 0‑1, which occurred in 3 of their 8 matches. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

Despite the faltering start, Braga are moralized in this round 17 due to the fact that they have managed to get closer in recent weeks to places of access to European competitions, in what is the great goal of the Minho team in this championship. Rúben Amorim's entry into the coaching position left vacant by Sá Pinto's departure seems to have had a good result, as Braga scored two wins in both games with the new coach. First, with the historic 7-1 defeat in the visit to Belenenses and, more recently, against Tondela, where the Braga had to react to a not so efficient first half against a game where they went to the disadvantage. Paulinho's two goals were scored in the last minutes of the game in a second half where Braga clearly rose from production.