Finland and Italy play at Ratinan Stadion in a Euro Qualifiers (Qualifying Round) match. The recent head ‑ to ‑ head record favors the away team, which in the last 2 matches has won 2. It is necessary to analyze the home / away condition with special attention, as Finland presents different results at home and away.
The home team is currently in the 2 nd position, with 12 points won, after 4 wins and 1 loss. In the penultimate round, they have won an away match against Liechtenstein by (0‑2). In the last match, they won in a home match against Greece, by (1‑0). This is a home team that is stronger than when they play in front of their fans, as they have a record of 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in the last 30 matches, with 11 goals scored and 17 conceded, against 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 home losses, with 23 goals scored and 7 conceded. Finland have won 8 and tied 2 of the last 10 home matches.
In this competition, they have a sequence of 4 wins in the last matches. Defensive consistency has been one of their best features, as they have only conceded goals in 1 of the last 5 matches, and their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 4 of the last 5 matches for this competition. In 15 matches, they have never been able to turn the score around in the 4 matches for which they have conceded the first goal.
Finland comes for this match motivated after winning another triumph in this qualifying round, the fourth in a row after beating Greece 1-0: Pukki scored the only goal of the team through a penalty. In this game against Italy, a very complicated opponent at all levels, the coach Markku Kanerva should choose a defensive strategy, seeking only the counterattack, aiming to explore the spaces left by his opponent. Offensive Pukki is the star of this formation, being this athlete the best scorer of Finland with 4 goals. The entire cast is available for this game.
The away team is currently in the 1 st position, with 15 points won, after 5 wins. In the penultimate round, they have won a home match against Bosnia-Herzegovina by (2‑1). In the last match, they won in an away match against Armenia, by (1‑3). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since they have a record of 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the last 30 matches, with 23 goals scored and 17 conceded. Already at home, they have won 9 wins and 6 draws, with a total of 34 goals scored and 6 conceded. In the last 9 away matches in all competitions, Italy have won 4, tied 1 and lost 4.
In this competition, they have won the last 5 games they have played. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 5 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 4 of their last 9 matches have ended With Under 1,5 goals and 6 in 9 have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 15 matches, they have managed to turn the score around in 2 of the 6 matches for which they have conceded the first goal.
The Italian team comes to this match with a 1-3 win against Armenia, adding the fifth consecutive win in this competition: the goals of the team were scored by Belotti (2) and Pellegrini. In this match against the second of the group, the coach Mancini should keep the team in 4-3-3, favoring a style of possession and looking for the spaces from the sides. Andrea Belotti is expected to make the front, being one of the top scorers with 2 goals. For this match the coach will be able to count on the same players as the last game.