Our Predictions
Grêmio’s home record is much stronger, with 7 wins in their last 15 at home. The odds at 2.25 are fair given their solidity in Porto Alegre, and Vasco is inconsistent away.
Head-to-head matches are often low-scoring: three of the last five finished with under 2.5 goals. Both teams struggle to break each other down, and odds of 1.62 underline a cagey contest.
Four of the last five meetings saw at least one team fail to score. Defensive discipline and attacking injuries reinforce the odds of 1.80 for at least one clean sheet in this matchup.
Accumulator odds
Welcome to Extratips: Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama Preview & Predictions – Serie A 2025
Get ready for a key Brazilian Serie A clash as Grêmio hosts Vasco da Gama on November 20, 2025, at 00:30. Grêmio (14th, 20 pts) are aiming to climb away from mid-table, while Vasco (9th, 42 pts) want to push closer to the Copa Libertadores spots. Recent headlines focus on injury woes for both sides and some fresh faces making a difference.
Top 3 Odds
- Home Win: 2.25
- Draw: 3.30
- Away Win: 3.10
These odds suggest a tight contest, with Grêmio slightly favored at home but little separating the teams.
Standings & Motivation
Grêmio sits 14th (10W-9D-13L, 39 pts), needing points to avoid a drop, while Vasco da Gama is 9th (12W-6D-13L, 42 pts), hunting for continental slots. Both have plenty to fight for as the season winds down.
H2H: Last 5
- 07/19/25: Vasco 1–1 Grêmio
- 07/28/24: Grêmio 1–0 Vasco
- 04/14/24: Vasco 2–1 Grêmio
- 12/03/23: Grêmio 1–0 Vasco
- 08/06/23: Vasco 1–0 Grêmio
No overall streaks – both have recent wins and tight contests dominate.
Recent Form
- Grêmio Home: 7W-5D-3L in last 15 (solid home base)
- Vasco Away: 5W-2D-8L in last 15 (can surprise, but error-prone)
Strengths & Weaknesses
Grêmio:
- Strength: Strong at home (scoring in 80% matches)
- Strength: Resilient defense at home
- Strength: Edenílson’s creativity
- Weakness: Lack of consistency
- Weakness: Away form drags
- Weakness: Struggle against quick attacks
Vasco da Gama:
- Strength: Set-piece efficiency
- Strength: Vegetti’s scoring form
- Strength: Young midfielders add energy
- Weakness: Soft away defense
- Weakness: Struggle when pressed
- Weakness: Injuries to key men
Key Factors
Vasco has several injury doubts, limiting their rotation. Grêmio is largely healthy but searching for scoring rhythm.
Story Angles
- Will home advantage tip the balance? Grêmio have been tough to beat in Porto Alegre.
- Can Vegetti break down a disciplined Grêmio backline?
- Both squads need points for different reasons: safe mid-table or a push for Copa slots.
Scenarios
- Tight 1-1 draw (high likelihood)
- Grêmio edges it 2-1 (medium)
- Vasco shocks with a late winner (low)
All signs point to a gritty, low-scoring battle where defenses may have the final say. Look for extra tension in midfield and a set-piece or late goal to make the difference.