Our Predictions
The odds for a Serbia win are very low (1.25), showing bookmakers trust the home side’s strong form, superior squad, and solid home record to earn all three points.
Neither team has shown high scoring in their recent matches. Serbia’s defense is sound, and Latvia struggles to score. The odds of 1.53 reflect the likelihood of a tight, low-scoring contest.
Serbia regularly keeps clean sheets against Latvia, and Latvia’s attack is weak away from home. With odds at 1.62, it’s probable that Latvia fails to score.
Accumulator odds
Welcome to Extratips — Serbia vs Latvia: World Cup Qualification Match Preview
Serbia hosts Latvia on November 16, 2025, at Gradski stadion Dubočica for a crucial World Cup Qualification tie. Kick-off is set for 17:00 UTC. Serbia sits 3rd in Group K with 10 points from 7 games and a goal difference of -2. Latvia is 4th with 5 points from 7 matches and a -9 goal difference. Both teams are looking to close the gap in the group.
Latest news highlights Serbia’s solid defense, led by Aleksandar Mitrovic (4 goals) and Dusan Vlahovic (3 goals) up front, with Filip Kostic on the wing contributing assists. Latvia will rely heavily on Vladislavs Gutkovskis for attacking threats while working to tighten their leaky backline.
Bookmakers make Serbia heavy favorites, offering Home win: 1.25, Draw: 6.25, and Away win: 11.00. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.57, and Both Teams to Score ‘No’ stands at 1.62 — suggesting a low-scoring match and Serbia controlling play.
Current standings and motivation: Serbia’s position means a win is crucial to keep qualification hopes alive. Latvia, with only 5 points, faces an uphill battle but could play spoiler.
Direct H2H: The last 5 meetings (dating back before 2025) show a clear Serbia edge — most recently, Serbia beat Latvia 1-0 away on September 6, 2025. Previous encounters have rarely seen many goals, with Serbia consistently keeping clean sheets.
Home/Away form: Serbia's last 5 home matches: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss. Latvia's last 5 away matches: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses.
Team strengths:
- Serbia: Solid defense, effective target man (Mitrovic), experience in midfield.
- Latvia: Quick counters, physical play, endurance.
Team weaknesses:
- Serbia: Occasional wasted chances, slow starts, vulnerable to set pieces.
- Latvia: Poor defending, low shot conversion, little attacking creativity.
Key factors:
- Serbia’s home fans and scoring power.
- Latvia’s injury worries (several regulars doubtful).
- Serbia’s tactical focus on dominating possession.
Unique Angles:
- Will Mitrovic’s hunger for goals show? He’s in top form at home.
- Can Latvia repeat defensive discipline from their last close fight with Serbia?
- Will Serbia’s midfield dictate early, or can Latvia catch a slow start?
Potential predictions:
- Serbia to win.
- Under 3.5 goals.
- Both teams not to score.
- Correct score 2-0 Serbia.
- Mitrovic to score anytime.
Comparison: Serbia is better organized, scores more, and concedes less. Latvia struggles for points and rarely scores away.
Match scenarios:
- Serbia keeps a clean sheet and wins by 2 or more (high likelihood).
- Latvia snatches a draw with a late goal (low likelihood).
- Serbia dominates, but settles for a tight win (medium likelihood).
Fans can expect a clinical Serbian display, with Latvia chasing chances but unlikely to break through.