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7 Betting Strategies in 2019

Betting Strategies in 2019

2018 Jun 6

These top 7 football betting strategies can improve your chances of winning or reduce your losses. Using a betting technique involves, first of all, discipline. Then patience and constant study.


1. Betting on favourites

This football betting strategy is recommended to those who bet on favourites (top teams).Choose a team that has made at least one wrong move during the last 2-3 matches, a match where the apparent favourite does not win (e.g. Chelsea - Hull 1-1), but the next opponent must be the same type as the one in the match where the favourite made the wrong move (e.g. Chelsea - Reading).The odds will be as great as the match, between 1.15 and 1.40, but think that it will bring you 15-40% of the amount.It would be ideal to place an accumulator bet that contains 2-3 matches for a more consistent win. This bet doubles the invested amount.

* Use our Betting Odds Calculator & Convertor to help you determine how much money you’ll win!


2. Betting against favourites

This football betting strategy is recommended to those who are looking for significant gains, high-odds matches, more precisely for those who bet against favourites. You choose the favourites that have 4-5 consecutive wins, both at home and away, and bet against the favourite until you win. You have to make sure that in the next 4-5 matches, the team's opponents are of the same type (middle and bottom of the top).If you lose a bet, you double or triple the stake for the next bet.

Example:

  • Milan - Reggina: 1 = 1.20, X = 4.00, 2 = 12.00Last 6 matches: Milan = V V V V V V;

3. Single match football betting system

Among all the techniques this is the one betting strategies consists that in choosing a single match.

There is a condition: the odds of your favourite should be at least 2.00

You have to choose the match carefully you will bet on because the risk for strategy is quite high.Here's how it works:

Example 1

- bet on favourite and draw: Milan - Liverpool: 1 = 2.20, X = 3.10, 2 = 3.50- use a simple formula depending on the amount you want to earn.

Example 2

- bet on favourite and outsider: Milan - Liverpool: 1 = 2.20, X = 3.10, 2 = 3.50- apply the same simple formula depending on the amount you want to earn.


4. X Strategy ( Draw )

It consists in choosing a championship in which, on average, at least two matches end in a draw. In this betting strategy, you choose a team that has not scored an equal number of goals in at least 5-6 matches. You will bet on a draw for any match of this team until you win. After each lost bet, you double or triple the stake.If you choose this strategy, it is critical that you calculate your budget.

Example:

Choose the team: Milan

  • Place 1st bet : Milan - Lecce

odds : 1 = 1.30  X = 4.00  2 = 10.00

Bet 2 € on X(draw) 2€ *4.00 = 8.00€ -> possible profit: 6.00€

if you lose :

  • Place 2nd bet: Roma - Milan

odds 1 = 2.40 X = 3.10.  2 = 3.20

Bet 6€ on X(draw) 6€* 3.10 = 18.60€ - > possible profit : 10.60€

if you lose:

  • Place 3rd bet: Milan - Lazio

odds: 1 = 1.70   X = 3.20.  2 = 4.00

Bet 18€ on X(draw) 18€ x 3.20 = 57.60€ - >possible profit: 31.60€

if you lose:

  • Place 4th bet: Reggina - Milan

odds: 1 = 6.50  X = 3.50  2 = 1.60

Bet 54€ on X(draw) 54€*3.50 = 189.00€ - > possible profit: 109.00€

Congratulation : You Win

Everytime you lose a bet you multiply the previous stake with 3 and bet the amount on the next Milan match


5. Martingale Football Betting Strategy

The Martingale System is among the old betting strategies. This strategy is ancient and was initially created for casino players. It's an easy-to-understand system: if you lose your bet (bets), increase your stakes progressively to cover all your losses and earn a profit on your first win. As soon as you have achieved the expected profit, you repeat the strategy from the beginning and bet the initial stake.

What are the risks of the Martingale system?

The big drawback consists in the practical aspect. A failure forces the bettor to risk an enormous amount of money. According to the Martingale system, after a series of 5 lost bets with odds of 2 (2.00), the stake for the sixth bet must be 32 times the initial bet. Moreover, the Martingale system itself is not a way to have long-term profits. The only way for a bettor to do this is to calculate probabilities with more accuracy than bookmakers.


6. D'ALEMBERT Football Betting System

This system bears the name of Jean Le Rond d'Alembert, a mathematician and physicist known for his theories full of novelty in those times. His theory sustained in the “Law of Dynamic Equilibrium" implies a balance between the success and failure of a played event. D'Alembert, often confronted with a pyramid system, increases the bet stake by a unit in case of an unsuccessful bet and reduces it by one unit in the case of a winning bet.The amount can be increased or decreased depending on the odds.

STEP 1

- Bet 10 EUR on odds of 1.80, if you lose, you still bet 20 EUR, if the bet is a winning bet in the next round you will also bet 10 EUR.

STEP 2

- If the first bet was lost and you bet 20 EUR on the next bet, here is what you will do next. If the bet wins, return to the 10 EUR stake, if the bet is again lost, increase the bet by 10 EUR and bet 30 EUR in the next step.

STEP 3

- If your bet is still unsuccessful and you have bet 30 EUR, in the next stage increase the stake by 10 EUR. If you have bet 30 EUR and the bet has won, you reduce the amount by 10 EUR, meaning you bet 20 EUR on the next event.


7. The KELLY Criterion

The Kelly Criterion allows you to calculate the optimal stake according to your odds and prediction. Betting more would be a useless risk and betting less would involve fewer returns.The optimal stake is a percentage of the total amount you will spend on sports betting.

How do you calculate your stakes using the Kelly Criterion?

To calculate the stake, you need to know the bookmaker's odds (O) and have accurately calculated the probability of a favourable result of your predictions (P).

Therefore, the following formula applies:

Stake = (O x P - 1) / (O - 1)

Where: O=odds and P=profit you want to get

Attention, this system will only bring you a profit if you calculate the probability with more precision than a bookmaker.


Final Words For This 7 Football Betting Strategies

If your estimates are wrong, the strategy could speed up the losses.Before you use these betting strategies for your sports betting slip, I advise you to test them, and once you've made sure that the seven betting strategies apply to you, choose the most profitable one. If you are a beginner in betting we suggest you use our free football betting tips !