Our Predictions
Atalanta are on stronger form, unbeaten at home lately, and Fiorentina haven’t won away this season. The odds at 1.65 make Atalanta clear favorites, and their attack should get the job done.
Recent meetings have seen plenty of goals (3-2, 4-1, 3-2, etc.). Both sides have shaky defenses, and with attacking injuries, there’s likely space for goals to flow. Odds at 2.00 show bookies expect a lively game.
Five straight head-to-heads saw both teams score. Fiorentina will push hard, and Atalanta rarely keep clean sheets. The 1.95 odds reflect high likelihood for both to find the net.
Atalanta vs Fiorentina Prediction & Preview – Serie A Showdown
Welcome to Extratips! Football fans and bettors, get set for a cracking Serie A clash as Atalanta host Fiorentina in Bergamo on November 30, 2025 at 17:00. Atalanta sit mid-table, currently in 7th place, hunting points to break into the European spots. Fiorentina, on the other hand, are rock bottom at 19th, desperate for a turnaround to avoid relegation.
Recent odds say Atalanta are favorites to win (Home: 1.65), a draw pays 3.60, while a Fiorentina upset would bring 6.00. Both teams to score gets 1.95, and Over 2.5 goals offers 2.00. These numbers show confidence in Atalanta’s attack, but question Fiorentina’s weak form.
Head-to-head, Atalanta have had just 10 wins in their last 43 meetings, while Fiorentina have the edge with 21. The last five clashes went: Atalanta 3-2 Fiorentina, Fiorentina 3-2 Atalanta, Atalanta 4-1 Fiorentina, Fiorentina 2-3 Atalanta, Atalanta 2-3 Fiorentina. Lots of goals and close battles.
Looking at home numbers, Atalanta recently have 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss. Fiorentina’s last five away saw 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses. Atalanta’s strengths? Solid pressing, dangerous on set-pieces, good build-up with a team goal average of 1.57 per game. Weaknesses: inconsistent defense, injuries to several starters, slow starts. Fiorentina strengths: fast flank play, smart tactical rotations, occasional clean sheets. Weaknesses: poor away record, low goal rate (0.71 per match), missing key attackers through injury.
Key factors: Atalanta missing De Ketelaere, Scamacca and Scalvini; Fiorentina miss Kouamé, Sohm and Lamptey. Both managers need tactical tweaks. Unique storylines include: Atalanta’s fight for Europe, Fiorentina’s slipping survival hopes, and the mood in Bergamo after recent injuries.
Expect plenty of action and drama—this is a match with a lot on the line.