Our Predictions
Ceara has won the last four derbies and face an injury-hit Fortaleza. Their home win odds (2.30) offer solid value, with momentum and squad stability on their side.
Recent meetings have been tight: three of the last five saw only one side score. Both teams are struggling in attack and key forwards are out, making BTTS-No likely at odds of 1.67.
Four of the last five derbies stayed under 2.5 goals. Injuries and low-scoring trends for both sides make under 2.5 (1.50) a strong pick.
Accumulator odds
Welcome to Extratips: Ceara vs Fortaleza Prediction - Brazilian Serie A Showdown
The lights will shine bright in Fortaleza on November 6 as Ceara hosts Fortaleza in the Serie A. Kick-off is set for 23:00 at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo.
Top betting odds paint a tight contest: Home win at 2.30, Draw at 3.25, Away win at 3.10. Bookies expect a low-scoring affair, with Under 2.5 at just 1.50, while both teams not to score is favored at 1.67.
Ceara holds 13th place with 35 points, where a win keeps them safe from the drop and could spark a late run. Fortaleza struggles in 18th place, 24 points, desperate for results to climb out of the relegation zone.
Looking at the last five derbies, Ceara has dominated: 1-0, 1-0, 3-2, 2-0, before a Fortaleza win two years ago. At home, Ceara's past five: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses. Fortaleza away: 1 win, 4 losses.
Ceara’s strengths: solid at the back, high work rate, clinical finishing in big games. Weaknesses: struggle to score, lack of midfield creativity, poor home run lately. Fortaleza’s strengths: quick attackers, set piece threat, good stamina late in games. Weaknesses: leaky defense (2.4 goals conceded avg in last 5), injuries, inability to break down defensive teams.
Ceara misses Dieguinho, Luiz Otavio, and Marcos Victor through injury. Fortaleza’s list is longer: Allanzinho, Bruninho, Joao Ricardo, Leandro Martinez, Lucas Crispim, Matheus Pereira, Marinho, and Weverson are out.
Unique Storylines: 1) Ceara’s recent derby dominance—can they make it five in a row? 2) Fortaleza’s mounting injury crisis—will they field enough experience? 3) Relegation tension—this match could define each side’s season.
Both sides have been low on goals and battered by injury. Ceara’s solid record in the derby, plus their fresher squad, tips the balance their way. Still, expect a tense battle with few clear chances.