Our Predictions
Fluminense have won the last two meetings and have the better home record. Key absences hurt both sides, but Flu’s attacking depth and home advantage should see them edge it at these odds.
Both teams have scored in 9 of their last 10 combined matches. Defensive issues and attacking threats on both sides make ‘Yes’ a strong value pick at these odds.
Recent H2H games and both teams’ form suggest goals. Flu average 1.19 scored, Ceará 0.95, but both concede too many. Over 2.5 offers good value for a lively game.
Ceará have shown they can get results on the road. With Flu missing key players, a tight, even match could end level.
If both sides struggle in attack or defend well, a low-scoring draw is possible. This is a less likely, but a possible outcome at longer odds.
Accumulator odds
Fluminense vs Ceará – A Brazilian Seria A Showdown at The Maracanã
Welcome to Extratips, where we break down Tuesday’s big Brazilian Serie A clash between Fluminense and Ceará! Kickoff is set for 22:00 at the iconic Maracanã. Both teams come into this match needing points to push up the table, and the stage is set for a lively encounter.
Standings & Motivation:
Fluminense sits 7th with 38 points after 26 rounds, while Ceará is 10th with 34 points. Neither side is safe from mid-table tension. With a win, Flu could tighten their grip on a Copa Sudamericana spot, while Ceará will want to avoid slipping closer to the drop zone. This matchup arrives with neither team in brilliant form, but both have plenty to fight for.
Head-to-Head History:
Recent history gives a slight edge to Fluminense, who have won the last two meetings. Their last five duels read: 0-1 (Oct 2022), 2-1 (Jul 2022), 1-0 (Oct 2021), 0-0 (Jul 2021), 1-3 (Feb 2021). No blowouts, but Flu have the momentum. The overall H2H record is balanced, with 3 wins each and 4 draws in the last 10. Expect another close game.
Form & Matchups:
Fluminense’s home form is tricky to read—sometimes electric, sometimes flat. Ceará’s away performances are patchy—they get goals, but often leak goals too. Kevin Serna and Germán Cano are the danger men for Flu, while Ceará will look to Pedro Raúl and Antonio Galeano to trouble the defense. Lucas Mugni is a creative force for Ceará, but defensively both teams look vulnerable.
Injuries & Tactics:
Fluminense will be without Ganso, Nonato, and Keno—key absences in midfield and attack. Ceará, meanwhile, are missing Dieguinho, Luiz Otavio, and Marcos Victor, which weakens their defense and build-up play. Both managers may tinker, but this is likely to be a battle in midfield, with quick transitions on the cards.
Storylines:
- Can Fluminense’s home advantage carry them? The Maracanã is always a factor, and Flu’s fans will demand a proper showing.
- Are Ceará ready for the test? They’ve struggled for consistency, but when they play with intensity, they can surprise – as they nearly did at the Maracanã last year.
- Goals galore? Odds suggest yes—both teams have attacking talent, but defensive lapses this season mean both nets could bulge.
Potential Scenarios:
- Flu control, Ceará counter: Likely. Flu press high, Ceará try to hurt on the break.
- Early goal, open game: Possible. If either side scores early, expect an end-to-end battle.
- Low-scoring stalemate: Less likely, but possible if both defenses hold firm early.
In summary: Fluminense are favorites at home, but Ceará have enough fight to make it interesting. Goals look likely, but it won’t be a walkover for either side.