Italy’s strong form and Moldova’s struggles make the home win a safe bet. Odds imply a dominant display, likely 2-0 or 3-0. No BTS is probable given Italy’s solid defense and Moldova’s scoring droughts, all consistent with a low-score game.

While unlikely, a tied game with both teams scoring isn’t impossible—maybe Moldova nicking a goal on a set-piece or counter. Over 2.5 reflects the potential for late goals or Moldova pushing for a goal, but less probable with Italy’s disciplined defense.

Italy's defense usually keeps clean sheets, but they can score a couple. Moldova’s attack isn’t prolific, so the combination of a home win and a BTS Yes scenario suggests Italy scoring at least once, while Moldova may get one shot on target.