Our Predictions
Napoli are clear favorites at home, with odds at 1.25. Their home scoring and group urgency should see them through, even with injuries.
Defensive injuries hurt Napoli, but Qarabag rarely scores much on the road against top sides. Odds of 1.75 suggest bookies see a Napoli clean sheet as likely.
Napoli averages over 2 goals at home, and with group stakes high, expect open football. Odds of 1.53 make this a strong choice.
Accumulator odds
Welcome to ExtraTips: Napoli vs Qarabag Champions League Preview
It's Champions League night at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona as Napoli hosts Qarabag on November 25, 2025 at 20:00 UTC. Napoli comes in with home pride on the line, but faces several notable injuries, including Romelu Lukaku. Qarabag travels in good form but is missing playmaker Marko Jankovic.
Match Odds & Implications
- Napoli to win: 1.25 – strong favorites
- Draw: 5.75 – a stalemate would be a shock
- Qarabag to win: 11.00 – huge upset odds
Both teams need points. Qarabag sits 15th (W2 D1 L1), fighting for knockout hopes. Napoli is 24th with just 4 points (W1 D1 L2), desperate for a win to avoid an early exit.
Head-to-Head (Last 5 Meetings)
No recent direct encounters in the Champions League between these sides, so history won't guide us much here.
Form Check
Napoli at home (last 5): 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss.
Qarabag away (last 5): 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss.
Strengths & Weaknesses
Napoli strengths:
- Solid home scoring (averaging 2+ goals)
- High pressing creates chances
- Depth in attack even with injuries
Napoli weaknesses:
- Key defensive injuries (Buongiorno, Rrahmani)
- Sometimes struggle to control midfield
- Inconsistent finishing without Lukaku
Qarabag strengths:
- Counter-attack threat
- Set-piece efficiency
- Team chemistry
Qarabag weaknesses:
- Lack of experience against top clubs
- Shaky defending under pressure
- Missing creative spark with Jankovic out
Key Factors
Injuries on both sides, Napoli’s bigger names out, Qarabag missing their playmaker. Napoli’s need to break down a compact defense could shape the match.
Unique Angles
- Can Napoli turn their group stage around at the death?
- Will Qarabag’s away form upset the odds again?
- Can either side’s bench step up with big names missing?
Scenario & Likelihood
- Napoli dominate, win with clean sheet (High)
- Napoli win, Qarabag sneaks a goal (Medium)
- Shock Qarabag draw (Low)
This match promises intensity and could shape both clubs’ European seasons. Let’s get into the predictions!