Nations League Predictions: Matchday 5 Fixtures and Analysis (12-14 November)
The Nations League returns on Thursday 12 November for the fifth matchday of the group stage, with eight fixtures in the top tier (League A).
Spain and Portugal are among the main talking points, having won all four of their matches and already secured places in the quarter-finals. France lead Group A1, while the Netherlands and Greece are level at the top of Group A2.
Below, you'll find analysis of four of the biggest fixtures, followed by predictions for all eight League A matches on Nations League Matchday 5.
Nations League Matchday 5 fixtures
Here are the eight League A fixtures for 12-14 November 2026, with kick-off times in GMT:
| Date | Fixture | Kick-off (GMT) |
|---|---|---|
| 12/11 (Thu) | Türkiye vs Belgium | 17:00 |
| 12/11 (Thu) | Italy vs France | 19:45 |
| 12/11 (Thu) | Czechia vs Spain | 19:45 |
| 12/11 (Thu) | England vs Croatia | 19:45 |
| 13/11 (Fri) | Netherlands vs Greece | 19:45 |
| 13/11 (Fri) | Serbia vs Germany | 19:45 |
| 14/11 (Sat) | Norway vs Wales | 17:00 |
| 14/11 (Sat) | Portugal vs Denmark | 19:45 |
Italy vs France: Nations League prediction and analysis
Group A1 heads into the closing stages with three teams still fighting for the top positions. France have the advantage at the top, but Italy will be looking to make home advantage count, take points off the leaders and close the gap.
How are Italy shaping up?
Italy have seven points: they have beaten Türkiye twice, drawn with France and lost to Belgium in their opening match. They have scored eight goals and conceded five in four matches. Last time out, they beat Türkiye 3-1.
And France?
France are unbeaten on ten points, with three wins and a draw. They have scored seven goals and conceded just two. Their latest result was a 4-1 win over Belgium, following a 1-1 draw with Italy.
The key stats
- France have scored in all four matches and conceded just two goals.
- Italy have scored eight goals in the competition, but have conceded in every match.
- The first meeting between the sides, in October, ended 1-1.
My Italy vs France prediction
Both teams to score
Italy have been finding the net, but have yet to keep a clean sheet. France have scored in every match and are likely to come under pressure from Italy playing at home. That makes both teams to score an interesting option for this fixture.
England vs Croatia: Nations League prediction and analysis
England host a Croatia side under pressure after three consecutive defeats. The English responded very well to their opening-match loss and go into this game on a winning run with an impressive goal difference.
How are England shaping up?
England opened their Nations League campaign with a 3-2 defeat to Spain, but then beat Czechia twice (2-0 and 3-0) and Croatia (7-0). They have nine points, with 14 goals scored and just three conceded. They kept clean sheets in all three wins.
And Croatia?
Croatia beat Czechia on Matchday 1, but then lost twice to Spain and suffered a 7-0 thrashing against England. They have three points, with four goals scored and 14 conceded.
The key stats
- England have scored ten goals in their last two matches without conceding.
- Croatia have conceded 14 goals in four matches.
- The last meeting between the sides ended 7-0 to England.
My England vs Croatia prediction
England to win
The two teams go into this match in very different form. England have won three in a row, looked solid defensively and have home advantage. The heavy win in their first meeting is worth considering, but it does not mean the same scoreline will be repeated. Backing England to win outright may therefore be the more realistic pick.
Netherlands vs Greece: Nations League prediction and analysis
This is a direct contest for top spot in Group A2. The Netherlands and Greece have eight points each, while Germany, on five, are close behind in the race for a place in the quarter-finals.
How are the Netherlands shaping up?
The Netherlands are still unbeaten: they drew with Germany and Greece and beat Serbia twice. They have scored seven goals and conceded five. They have found the net in every match, but have also conceded each time.
And Greece?
Greece have also been a surprise package and remain unbeaten, with wins over Serbia and Germany, plus draws with the Netherlands and Germany. They have scored five goals and conceded three. Their latest match ended in a goalless draw with Germany.
The key stats
- The Netherlands have scored and conceded in all four matches.
- Greece have scored in three of their four matches.
- The first meeting between the sides ended 2-2.
My Netherlands vs Greece prediction
Both teams to score
Their first meeting was an open contest, and the Netherlands have yet to keep a clean sheet. Greece have shown they can compete with the stronger sides, including an away win over Germany. The teams' recent results point to a good chance of both sides finding the net.
Portugal vs Denmark: Nations League prediction and analysis
Portugal go into Matchday 5 with four wins from four and a place in the quarter-finals already secured. Denmark sit second in Group A4 and will be hoping to spring a surprise away from home.
How are Portugal shaping up?
Portugal have beaten Wales, Norway twice and Denmark. They have 12 points, with nine goals scored and four conceded. Last time out, they beat Norway 2-1; against Denmark, they won 4-2 away from home.
And Denmark?
Denmark have six points from their two wins over Wales. They lost to Norway and Portugal. They have scored seven goals and conceded seven, showing attacking potential but also some defensive weaknesses.
The key stats
- Portugal have a 100% record and nine goals from four matches.
- Denmark have lost their two matches against Norway and Portugal.
- Portugal won their first meeting with Denmark 4-2.
My Portugal vs Denmark prediction
Portugal to win
Portugal are at home, have the most consistent record in the group and have already beaten Denmark in this edition. Having qualified early could affect team selection, but based on their performances so far, a home win for Portugal is the safest pick for this match.
Nations League Matchday 5 predictions: summary
Here are the predictions for all eight League A matches. Four of them have been analysed in detail above.
| Fixture | Prediction | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|
| Türkiye vs Belgium | Belgium to win | Türkiye have lost all four matches and conceded 11 goals; Belgium won their first meeting 3-0. |
| Italy vs France | Both teams to score | France have scored in every match and Italy have conceded in all four; their first meeting ended 1-1. |
| Czechia vs Spain | Spain to win | Spain have won all four matches and scored 12 goals; Czechia have yet to pick up a point. |
| England vs Croatia | England to win | England have won three in a row and thrashed Croatia 7-0 in October. |
| Netherlands vs Greece | Both teams to score | The Netherlands have scored and conceded in every match; the previous meeting ended 2-2. |
| Serbia vs Germany | Under 3.5 goals | All four matches played by each team have finished with no more than three goals. |
| Norway vs Wales | Over 2.5 goals | All four of Norway's matches have featured at least three goals; Wales won the first meeting 2-1. |
| Portugal vs Denmark | Portugal to win | Portugal have won all four matches, including a 4-2 victory over Denmark in their first meeting. |
Nations League FAQs
When is Nations League Matchday 5?
Matchday 5 takes place from Thursday 12 November to Saturday 14 November 2026. League A matches kick off at either 17:00 or 19:45 GMT.
What are the biggest matches on Matchday 5?
Italy vs France, England vs Croatia, Netherlands vs Greece and Portugal vs Denmark are among the standout fixtures. Czechia vs Spain and Serbia vs Germany are also important in the race to qualify.
Which teams have already qualified for the quarter-finals?
Spain and Portugal have reached 12 points with four wins and have already secured places in the League A quarter-finals. The remaining places are still up for grabs.
How does qualification work in League A?
The top two teams from each of League A's four groups advance to the quarter-finals, scheduled for March 2027. The sixth and final matchday of the group stage takes place from 15 to 17 November.
