Arsenal to win
Arsenal's 71.43% implied win probability at 1.40 odds fits their top-table form and home dominance. Bournemouth struggles away, making this a banker.
Welcome to Extratips, your go-to spot for top football predictions! We're diving into the exciting Arsenal vs AFC Bournemouth clash on April 11, 2026, at 11:30 AM in the Premier League. Arsenal, the table toppers, face a gritty Bournemouth side fighting mid-table battles.
Key Odds Spotlight: Arsenal win at 1.40 (71% chance), draw at 4.20, Bournemouth win at 8.00. These scream home dominance, but value lurks in draws or upsets.
Arsenal lead the league with 65 points from 30 games. Bournemouth sit 10th on 42 points, hungry for European dreams. Motivation? Gunners chase the title; Cherries want pride.
Head-to-Head (Last 5): Arsenal 3-0 Bournemouth (2025), Arsenal 2-1 Bournemouth (2024), Draw 1-1 (2024), Arsenal 4-0 Bournemouth (2023), Bournemouth 1-0 Arsenal (2023). Gunners rule lately, but Cherries stole one away.
Arsenal Home Form (Last 5): 4 wins, 1 draw. Fortress Emirates! Bournemouth Away (Last 5): 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses. Decent but vulnerable.
Arsenal Strengths: Deadly attack (Saka on fire, 12 goals), solid defense (3 clean sheets in 5). Weaknesses: Occasional slips vs low blocks. Bournemouth Strengths: Counter speed, set-pieces. Weaknesses: Leak goals on road (10 conceded in 5 aways).
Key factors: No major injuries reported. Arsenal's high press vs Bournemouth's park-the-bus could spark chaos. Weather fine, full houses hyped.
Storylines: 1. Can Bournemouth repeat their 2023 upset? Epic underdog tale. 2. Arsenal's title chase heats up—must-win? 3. BTTS fireworks from Cherries' counters.
Team Compare: Arsenal outscore foes 2-0 avg home; Bournemouth score 1.2 away but concede 1.8. Similar pace, but Gunners' quality edges it.
Scenarios: 1. Arsenal rout 3-0 (high likelihood). 2. Tense 2-1 win (medium). 3. Shock draw (low).
Get set for goals and glory—Arsenal to edge it, but watch the Cherries bite back!
Total votes: 103
Arsenal's 71.43% implied win probability at 1.40 odds fits their top-table form and home dominance. Bournemouth struggles away, making this a banker.
55.56% chance at 1.80 odds. Bournemouth scored in 4 of last 5 aways; Arsenal games often see goals both ways despite strong defense.
60.02% probability at 1.66 odds aligns with H2H patterns (goals in 4/5) and Arsenal's attack. Combines perfectly with Arsenal win and BTTS for 3-1 scoreline.
Our picks
*Odds available at time of writing.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 | 71:27 | 85 | WWWWW | |
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | +42 | 77:35 | 78 | LDWWD | |
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | +19 | 69:50 | 71 | WWDWW | |
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | +7 | 56:49 | 65 | WWDLL | |
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | +10 | 63:53 | 60 | DLDLW | |
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | +4 | 58:54 | 57 | DDWWD | |
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | -6 | 42:48 | 54 | WWDDL | |
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +6 | 52:46 | 53 | LLWLW | |
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +3 | 55:52 | 53 | DDLWL | |
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | +6 | 58:52 | 52 | LWDLL | |
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | -4 | 47:51 | 52 | WDLLW | |
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -2 | 53:55 | 49 | LWDWL | |
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -3 | 47:50 | 49 | LLDDL | |
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | -7 | 49:56 | 47 | LWDWD | |
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -10 | 41:51 | 45 | LDLDL | |
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | -3 | 48:51 | 44 | DLDWW | |
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -9 | 48:57 | 41 | WLDWW | |
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | -19 | 46:65 | 39 | WLLLW | |
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | -37 | 38:75 | 22 | DLDLL | |
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | -41 | 27:68 | 20 | DDLDL |