At a glance
The statistical model gives Juventus a 38% probability to win away against AZ Alkmaar, with the draw at 26% and a AZ Alkmaar win at 37%.
The model estimates a 51% probability of more than 2.5 goals in AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus.
The model puts the probability that both AZ Alkmaar and Juventus score at 53%.
AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus kicks off on Thursday 05 November 2026 at 20:00.
AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus: Europa League Match Preview and Predictions
Welcome to Extratips for the Europa League clash between AZ Alkmaar and Juventus. The match starts at 20:00 on 5 November 2026 at AFAS Stadion in Alkmaar. Juventus sit seventh with seven points, while AZ are tenth with six after three league-phase games.
Form and key angles
AZ have shown attacking spark, beating Hapoel Beer-Sheva 2-1 and Ararat-Armenia 4-0, but they recently lost 0-2 at home to Twente. Juventus have won away at Celta Vigo and Lecce, although a 2-2 draw with Rennes exposed gaps. Injury news matters too: Juventus may miss Nico González, Francisco Conceição, Arkadiusz Milik and Manuel Locatelli, while AZ also have several absences listed.
There are no completed recent direct meetings listed, so this is a fresh European test rather than a rivalry shaped by recent history. The main storyline is clear: AZ’s lively home attack against Juventus’ greater continental experience. Juventus are priced at 2.0500, Both Teams To Score at 1.6600, and Over 2.5 goals at 1.7700. Those odds point toward a tight away edge and an entertaining match.
Expect three likely scripts: Juventus control the key moments and win 2-1; both teams trade chances in a draw; or AZ’s home energy forces a surprise result. The first scenario has medium likelihood, the open draw is medium, and an AZ win is also medium. The model’s narrow margins make this a hard-fought affair, but the final lean is Juventus, with goals at both ends.
AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives AZ Alkmaar a 37% win probability, Juventus 38%, and the draw 26%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 53%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 51%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
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AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Juventus to win
The model gives Juventus a 37.9% probability, narrowly ahead of AZ Alkmaar at 36.6%. Juventus are seventh with seven points, while AZ are tenth with six after three Europa League matches. The visitors also have the stronger listed price at 2.0500, and their recent away results include wins over Celta Vigo and Lecce. AZ have lost their latest home match 0-2 to Twente, so Juventus have a slight edge in a close contest.
Both teams to score: Yes
The model gives Both Teams To Score — Yes a 53.3% probability. The available odds are 1.6600, also making Yes the clear market favorite. AZ have scored in recent European wins over Hapoel Beer-Sheva and Ararat-Armenia, while Juventus have scored in their recent victories over Celta Vigo and Lecce. Both sides should create chances, though neither defense has been fully reliable.
Over 2.5 goals
The model gives Over 2.5 a 50.9% probability, just above Under 2.5 at 49.1%. The best listed Over price is 1.7700. Recent results support an open game: AZ have won 4-0 and 2-1 in Europe, while Juventus drew 2-2 with Rennes and beat Celta Vigo 2-1. Combined with the model's Both Teams To Score preference, three goals are a reasonable expectation.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
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*Odds available at time of writing.








