Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg Prediction: Goals Expected at BayArena

Welcome to Extratips for our Bundesliga match prediction. Bayer 04 Leverkusen host SC Freiburg at the BayArena on October 18, 2026, with kick-off at 13:30.

Freiburg lead the table with 13 points after five matches, while Leverkusen sit fourth on 10. Freiburg have won their last five games, but Leverkusen arrive after a lively 4-3 win at Mainz. The hosts also hold the recent edge in this fixture, with three wins from the last five league meetings. Their latest clash finished 3-3 in March 2026, so another open contest could be on the cards.

The main team-news concern is Leverkusen's defensive depth, with Guela Doué listed with a calf injury and Montrell Culbreath sidelined by a foot problem. Freiburg remain without Florent Muslija, who is recovering from an ACL injury. Those absences may leave spaces in midfield and defence.

Leverkusen's home quality meets Freiburg's excellent momentum. The key battle will be between the hosts' attacking pressure and Freiburg's ability to counter quickly. A Leverkusen win with goals at both ends looks plausible, while a high-scoring draw remains the main danger. Our model favours Home at 55.5%, Both Teams To Score at 53.8%, and Over 2.5 goals at 53.8%. Conclusion: expect a tight but entertaining BayArena contest, with Leverkusen narrowly ahead.