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At a glance
The statistical model gives FSV Mainz 05 a 48% probability to win away against Borussia Mönchengladbach, with the draw at 24% and a Borussia Mönchengladbach win at 28%.
The model estimates a 58% probability of more than 2.5 goals in Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05.
The model puts the probability that both Borussia Mönchengladbach and FSV Mainz 05 score at 59%.
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 13:30.
Extratips Match Preview: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach welcome FSV Mainz 05 to Borussia-Park in Bundesliga action on 19 September 2026. The model sees a lively game, with Mainz holding a small edge, both teams likely to score, and goals expected at both ends.
Mainz arrive with the better away price and the stronger win chance, while Gladbach will lean on home support to stay in the fight. The sharpest market signals are Away at 2.2900, BTTS Yes at 1.5000, and Over 2.5 at 1.5700. That mix suggests a fast, open contest rather than a cagey one.
Both sides will want points early in the season, so motivation should be high. Gladbach need a strong home show, while Mainz can make a big statement by taking control on the road. If the tempo stays high, this could turn into a match decided by fine margins and one key moment.
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Borussia Mönchengladbach a 28% win probability, FSV Mainz 05 48%, and the draw 24%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 59%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 58%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 97
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Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Won1x22.2900
FSV Mainz 05 to win
The model gives Away a 42.5% probability, the strongest of the three-way options. Mainz are also priced as the slight market favorite at 2.2900, while Gladbach are 3.0200 and the draw is 3.7800. That fits a tight away edge, especially if recent form and the head-to-head trend keep the game balanced.
WonBoth Teams To Score1.5000
Both teams to score: Yes
The model gives Yes a 58.1% probability, so BTTS is the top call. The market also leans that way at 1.5000, which matches a game where both sides can find chances. With an away favorite in a match that still projects as open, goals at both ends look likely.
WonOver/Under1.5700
Over 2.5 goals
The model gives Over 2.5 a 57.5% probability, making it the preferred total. The odds of 1.5700 also show a clear lean toward goals. This fits the BTTS angle and points to a match that can stretch if either side scores first.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
Total Odds
5.39
Potential Winnings
$219.65
FSV Mainz 05 to win
1x2 / Away
Both teams to score: Yes
Both Teams To Score / Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Over/Under / Over 2.5
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*Odds available at time of writing.
Full Time Result
28%
Home
Fair odd 3.57
24%
Draw
Fair odd 4.13
48%
Away
Fair odd 2.09
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 80%
Under 20%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 58%
Under 42%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 37%
Under 63%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 59%
No 41%
First Half Winner
28%
Home
33%
Draw
39%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
17%
5%
4%
Draw
9%
12%
14%
Away
2%
6%
31%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
5.6
8.4
7.2
4.1
1
6.4
10.3
8.6
5.3
2
3.8
6.6
6.6
3.6
3
1.7
2.9
2.5
1.5
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach1
FSV Mainz 051
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Borussia Mönchengladbach1FSV Mainz 051| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 9:2 | 12 | WWWW | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 14:2 | 10 | WWDW | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 12:3 | 10 | DWWW | |
| 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 11:6 | 7 | LDWW | |
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 10:5 | 7 | WDWL | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10:6 | 7 | WLWD | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 8:7 | 7 | DLWW | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8:8 | 7 | WDWL | |
| 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 9:5 | 6 | LWLW | |
| 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 9:10 | 5 | DWLD | |
| 11 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 3:4 | 5 | DWDL | |
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 3:5 | 4 | WLLD | |
| 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 6:9 | 4 | LDLW | |
| 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 7:10 | 3 | LWLL | |
| 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 6:9 | 3 | LLWL | |
| 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -11 | 2:13 | 3 | WLLL | |
| 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -13 | 4:17 | 1 | LLLD | |
| 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 6:16 | 0 | LLLL |
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