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At a glance
The statistical model gives Juventus a 49% probability to win away against Cagliari, with the draw at 26% and a Cagliari win at 25%.
The model estimates a 53% probability of fewer than 2.5 goals in Cagliari vs Juventus.
The model puts the probability that both Cagliari and Juventus score at 50%.
Cagliari vs Juventus kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 18:45.
Cagliari vs Juventus Prediction: Serie A Preview and Betting Tips
Welcome to Extratips for our preview of Cagliari against Juventus. The match starts on 11 October 2026 at 18:45 at the Sardegna Arena in Cagliari.
Cagliari have made a bright start. They sit fourth with 12 points after five league games, while Juventus are seventh with 10 points. Cagliari's recent run includes wins over Udinese, Atalanta and Lecce. Juventus still carry the stronger long-term record in this fixture, though Cagliari beat them 1-0 in January.
The last five meetings were 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-1 and 2-2 when read chronologically. The pattern suggests a close contest, with Juventus often edging the key moments. The main prices also point that way: Juventus 1.57, draw 4.00, and Cagliari 6.00.
Several absences could shape the game. Cagliari may miss M'Bala Nzola, M. Felici and R. Idrissi, while Juventus have concerns around Kenan Yıldız, Khéphren Thuram, Manuel Locatelli and Andrea Cambiaso. That could reduce attacking fluency and make the midfield battle decisive.
Expect Cagliari to press with energy at home. Juventus should rely on structure, patience and quick breaks. The model gives Juventus a 49.0% chance of winning, while Under 2.5 goals leads at 54.7%. A disciplined away display and a narrow scoreline look most likely.
Cagliari vs Juventus Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Cagliari a 25% win probability, Juventus 49%, and the draw 26%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 50%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Under 2.5 at 53%, indicating a lower-scoring affair is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
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Cagliari vs Juventus: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Lost1x21.57
Juventus to win
Juventus are favored by the 1.57 away price, while the model gives an Away win a 49.0% probability. Cagliari have started strongly in fourth place with 12 points, but Juventus sit seventh with 10 points and have the stronger recent head-to-head record. The last five meetings were Juventus 1-0 Cagliari, Cagliari 1-0 Juventus, Juventus 2-1 Cagliari, Cagliari 0-1 Juventus, and Juventus 4-0 Cagliari. Juventus remain the more likely winner despite Cagliari's home advantage.
LostBoth Teams To Score1.80
Both teams not to score
The model gives BTTS No a 50.6% probability, narrowly ahead of Yes at 49.4%. The available No price is 1.80, and recent meetings show several tight games, including 1-0, 1-0, and 0-1 results. Juventus are expected to control more possession, while Cagliari's recent home results include a 1-0 win over Lecce and a 0-1 loss to Inter. This supports a match where one side may fail to score.
WonOver/Under1.82
Under 2.5 goals
The model gives Under 2.5 a 54.7% probability, making it the strongest total-goals choice. The listed Under 2.5 odds are 1.82. Four of the five recent head-to-head results featured two goals or fewer, and Juventus are favored to win through control rather than an open shootout. A 0-1 or 0-2 Juventus victory fits both the goal trend and the predicted away result.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
Total Odds
5.14
Potential Winnings
$207.17
Juventus to win
1x2 / Away
Both teams not to score
Both Teams To Score / No
Under 2.5 goals
Over/Under / Under 2.5
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*Odds available at time of writing.
Full Time Result
25%
Home
Fair odd 4.06
26%
Draw
Fair odd 3.78
49%
Away
Fair odd 2.05
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 71%
Under 29%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 47%
Under 53%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 25%
Under 75%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 50%
No 50%
First Half Winner
20%
Home
46%
Draw
34%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
13%
4%
3%
Draw
9%
19%
17%
Away
1%
5%
28%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
8.8
12.4
8.9
4.6
1
7.7
11.9
9.3
4.5
2
3.8
6.2
4.9
2.5
3
1.5
2.0
1.6
0.9
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
No head-to-head matches found
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | +15 | 22:7 | 25 | WWWWW | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +13 | 23:10 | 22 | WWWDW | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +15 | 23:8 | 21 | WDWDD | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 17:8 | 20 | WWWDL | |
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 16:7 | 18 | WWDWD | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 17:13 | 14 | DWLWD | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11:8 | 14 | WLDWL | |
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 14:14 | 13 | LWWWD | |
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 8:13 | 13 | LLLDW | |
| 10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 13:10 | 11 | DLWDW | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 14:15 | 10 | DLWLL | |
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 9:14 | 9 | LWLLW | |
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8:10 | 8 | WLWDL | |
| 14 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 14:22 | 8 | LLLDL | |
| 15 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 15:18 | 7 | LWLWL | |
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 6:13 | 7 | WLWLD | |
| 17 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 9:18 | 4 | LLLLL | |
| 18 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 9:19 | 4 | LLLDW | |
| 19 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 5:15 | 4 | LLLWL | |
| 20 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -11 | 6:17 | 3 | LWLLL |
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