EU
Casa Pia vs Benfica Prediction
Welcome to Extratips and our match preview for Casa Pia vs Benfica. This Liga Portugal clash takes place at Estádio Pina Manique in Lisbon, with Benfica arriving as the strong favourite. The model points to an away edge, a match with No BTTS, and a lean toward Under 2.5 goals.
Benfica’s stronger level should shape the game from the start. Casa Pia will try to stay compact and fight for second balls, but the visitors should have more control in midfield and more threat in the final third. That usually means long spells of pressure, few clean chances for the home side, and a match where one goal can change the whole picture.
The best angle is a Benfica win in a controlled, low-scoring game. Casa Pia need a big night to flip the script, while Benfica only need to stay patient and sharp. If the favourite scores first, the rhythm should suit the away side even more.
Casa Pia vs Benfica Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Casa Pia a 16% win probability, Benfica 60%, and the draw 24%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'No' at 57%, suggesting a clean sheet is likely on at least one side.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Under 2.5 at 56%, indicating a lower-scoring affair is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only — bet responsibly.
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 112
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Our picks
1x21.2200
Benfica to win
The model gives Away a 60.4% probability, which is the clear top call here. Benfica are heavily favoured by the market too, and their strong edge in quality fits the odds. Casa Pia’s home edge is not enough to close that gap, so the away win is the safest read.
Both Teams To Score1.9500
Both teams not to score
The model gives No a 56.8% probability. That supports a game where Benfica control the tempo and Casa Pia struggle to create enough. The BTTS price also points to a lean toward one side failing to score.
Over/Under2.2300
Under 2.5 goals
The model gives Under 2.5 a 55.6% probability. That fits a Benfica-led match that may stay tight, with Casa Pia likely sitting deep. The recent numbers and head-to-head profile would also support a lower-scoring away win.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
Total Odds
5.31
Potential Winnings
$215.26
Benfica to win
1x2 / Away
Both teams not to score
Both Teams To Score / No
Under 2.5 goals
Over/Under / Under 2.5
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*Odds available at time of writing.
Full Time Result
16%
Home
Fair odd 6.33
24%
Draw
Fair odd 4.21
60%
Away
Fair odd 1.66
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 69%
Under 31%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 44%
Under 56%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 24%
Under 76%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 43%
No 57%
First Half Winner
13%
Home
40%
Draw
47%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
7%
3%
3%
Draw
5%
14%
19%
Away
1%
4%
44%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
9.5
15.1
11.7
7.2
1
6.5
10.4
9.2
5.0
2
2.5
3.8
3.4
2.3
3
1.0
0.9
4
5
6
7
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