At a glance
The statistical model gives Como a 60% probability to beat Venezia, with the draw at 22% and a Venezia win at 18%.
The model estimates a 53% probability of more than 2.5 goals in Como vs Venezia.
The model puts the probability that both Como and Venezia score at 50%.
Como vs Venezia kicks off on Sunday 01 November 2026 at 11:30.
Como vs Venezia: Serie A Match Preview and Predictions
Welcome to Extratips for a lively Serie A clash at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia on Sunday, 1 November 2026, with kickoff at 11:30. Como start as clear favourites after reaching fourth place with 17 points from eight games. Venezia sit 20th with three points, so survival pressure will be intense.
The top three prices tell the story: Como are 1.2600 to win, Over 2.5 goals is 1.3600, and Both Teams To Score — Yes is 1.5700. Como's recent run includes wins over Sassuolo, Fiorentina and Manchester United, while Venezia recently lost 0-1 at Genoa. Como's listed home form is strong, while Venezia have struggled on the road.
Recent meetings have been tight: Venezia 2-2 Como, Como 2-1 Venezia and Como 1-1 Venezia. That balance makes the fixture more intriguing than the table suggests. Como's strengths are home control, attacking confidence and better defensive numbers. Venezia's weaknesses are away resistance, goals conceded and limited points. Injuries may also matter, with Moise Kean and Assane Diao listed as doubts or absences for Como.
The main storyline is simple: can Venezia turn a historic rivalry into a survival statement, or will Como's European-level momentum carry the day? A 2-1 Como win is the most natural script. A higher-scoring 3-1 home victory is also possible, while a stubborn 1-1 draw remains the lower-probability upset. The final lean is Como, with goals at both ends and more than two goals overall.
Como vs Venezia Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Como a 60% win probability, Venezia 18%, and the draw 22%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'No' at 50%, suggesting a clean sheet is likely on at least one side.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 53%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
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Como vs Venezia: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Como to win.
The model gives Home a 58.5% probability. Como sit fourth with 17 points from eight matches, while Venezia are 20th with three points. Como have won four of their last five listed matches, including a 2-0 home win over Sassuolo. The recent head-to-head record is balanced, but Como won the latest meeting 2-1 in Serie B and have the stronger current profile. Home is also priced at 1.2600.
Both teams to score: Yes.
The model gives Yes a 50.6% probability. The odds make Yes the shorter option at 1.5700, despite the narrow model edge. Como have scored freely during a strong run, while Venezia have scored in several recent matches but also conceded heavily, including three against Atalanta and two against Fiorentina. The last three listed competitive meetings produced goals for both teams, ending 2-2, 2-1 and 1-1.
Over 2.5 goals.
The model gives Over 2.5 a 53.3% probability. The market offers 1.3600, and Como's recent results include 4-1, 3-1 and 2-3 scorelines. Venezia's defensive record is also a concern, with six goals scored and 16 conceded in seven league matches. The latest head-to-head meetings ended 1-1, 2-2 and 2-1, suggesting another open contest is possible. The model's top outcome is Over 2.5.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
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*Odds available at time of writing.








