EU
At a glance
The statistical model gives Deportivo A Coruña a 44% probability to beat Sevilla, with the draw at 27% and a Sevilla win at 29%.
The model estimates a 51% probability of more than 2.5 goals in Deportivo A Coruña vs Sevilla.
The model puts the probability that both Deportivo A Coruña and Sevilla score at 55%.
Deportivo A Coruña vs Sevilla kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 17:00.
Extratips Match Preview: Deportivo A Coruña vs Sevilla
Deportivo A Coruña meet Sevilla at Estadio Abanca-Riazor on September 16 in La Liga. The model leans home, but only just, and this looks like a close battle from start to finish. Deportivo can use home control and early energy, while Sevilla have enough quality to stay in it.
The key market signal is clear: Home 43.4%, BTTS Yes 54.4%, and Under 2.5 at 50.5%. That points to a narrow game with goals at both ends, but not a high-scoring shootout. The safest reading is a tense contest, with one moment likely to decide it.
Match read
- Deportivo should start fast and try to set the tempo.
- Sevilla will look to stay compact and strike on transitions.
- A 1-1 or 1-0 type result fits the numbers well.
Storylines
- Home edge versus away quality.
- Both attacks can score, but chances may be limited.
- Small margins could shape the result late on.
Best lean
Deportivo have the slight edge, but Under 2.5 and BTTS Yes also fit the data well.
Deportivo A Coruña vs Sevilla Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Deportivo A Coruña a 44% win probability, Sevilla 29%, and the draw 27%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 55%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 51%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 63
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Deportivo A Coruña vs Sevilla: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Lost1x22.5000
Deportivo A Coruña to win
The model gives Home a 43.4% probability, which is the top 1X2 outcome. That edge fits a tight home-sided game, with Deportivo likely to lean on the crowd and a solid defensive shape. The away side still has a live chance, so this is not a sure thing, but the home win is the clearest pick from the numbers.
Lost1.9500
Both teams to score
The model gives Yes a 54.4% probability, so BTTS is the preferred call. That points to a match where both attacks can find space, even if the game stays balanced. Recent form and the head-to-head picture support chances at both ends, making a goal for each side a logical angle.
WonOver/Under1.6300
Under 2.5 goals
The model gives Under 2.5 a 50.5% probability, making it the top total-goals choice. This leans toward a controlled contest with few clear chances. Recent form, standings pressure, and the head-to-head trend all suggest a careful, competitive match rather than a wild scoreline.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
Total Odds
7.95
Potential Winnings
$347.31
Deportivo A Coruña to win
1x2 / Home
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score / Yes
Under 2.5 goals
Over/Under / Under 2.5
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*Odds available at time of writing.
Full Time Result
44%
Home
Fair odd 2.26
27%
Draw
Fair odd 3.72
29%
Away
Fair odd 3.48
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 75%
Under 25%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 51%
Under 49%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 29%
Under 71%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 55%
No 45%
First Half Winner
33%
Home
45%
Draw
22%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
26%
6%
2%
Draw
16%
19%
10%
Away
3%
6%
14%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
7.4
7.6
4.4
1.7
1
10.2
12.4
6.8
2.7
2
7.3
9.2
5.8
2.3
3
3.6
4.5
2.8
1.2
4
5
6
7
EU
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EU
EU
EU
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No head-to-head matches found
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +24 | 31:7 | 21 | WWWWW | |
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 16:7 | 16 | WWWLW | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 9:7 | 16 | DWWWL | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 18:8 | 15 | LWWLW | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10:9 | 13 | LWWDL | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 11:6 | 11 | DLLWW | |
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10:8 | 10 | DLDWW | |
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 9:13 | 10 | WLWDW | |
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 13:12 | 8 | WWLLL | |
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 7:6 | 8 | DDWWL | |
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 4:7 | 8 | WLDDL | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 11:16 | 8 | DWLWL | |
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 6:13 | 8 | DLLLW | |
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 8:6 | 7 | WDDDL | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10:10 | 7 | LLWDL | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -10 | 11:21 | 7 | LLWLW | |
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8:12 | 5 | LLDWD | |
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 11:17 | 5 | WLDLL | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4:13 | 4 | LWLLL | |
| 20 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 3:12 | 3 | LLDDL |
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