Alavés vs Málaga: La Liga Match Preview and Predictions

Welcome to Extratips for the latest look at Friday’s La Liga clash. Alavés host Málaga at Mendizorroza on 23 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:00. The hosts are seventh on 11 points after eight games, while Málaga are bottom, 20th, with only four points.

Alavés have lost their last three reported home matches, including narrow defeats by Valencia and Atlético Madrid. Málaga remain without a league win, but their recent 1-1 draw with Espanyol offers a small lift. The visitors have also conceded 13 times, so defensive pressure will be a major concern.

The main prices favour Alavés: Home is 1.8300, Draw is 3.4000, and Away is 4.3300. BTTS Yes is priced at 1.9500, while Over 2.5 sits at 2.1000. Our model gives Alavés the highest 1X2 chance at 41.4%, with BTTS Yes at 57.0% and Over 2.5 at 53.0%.

Key angles

• Alavés should control territory, but their recent home defeats warn against overconfidence.
• Málaga’s winless run creates urgency, yet their defensive record keeps the door open.
• Ville Koski’s fitness remains a watch point for the Alavés back line.

A 2-1 home win is the clearest match script: Alavés edge the contest, Málaga score, and the game reaches three goals. A 1-1 draw is the main danger, while a low-scoring Málaga upset looks less likely.

Conclusion: Alavés have the stronger table position and home setting. Expect a lively contest with both teams finding the net and at least three goals.