The model gives Home a 45.2% probability, the strongest share in the 1X2 market. Espanyol also get the edge from the home venue, and the odds around 2.00 show they are favoured. The away side still has a live chance, so this is not a lock, but the balance of model, price, and home advantage points to Espanyol.

The model gives Yes a 55.5% probability, which is the top outcome for BTTS. That fits a tight game where Espanyol are slight favourites, but Levante still have enough threat to score. The market price near 1.95 also supports a goal for each side.

The model gives Over 2.5 a 51.0% probability, so it leans just above the line. With Home slightly favoured and BTTS also on Yes, the match picture suggests chances at both ends. Recent league trends and the balanced nature of the fixture also support a game with at least three goals.