BRASILEIRÃO - SÉRIE A (MATCHDAY 28)

Matchday 28 of the Brasileirão brings fixtures that could prove decisive for the direction of the competition, whether in the title race, the battle for a place in international competitions, or the fight against relegation. To help with the analysis, I bring you the probabilities for the main outcomes in each match - always remembering that, no matter how good the model is, no prediction is 100% reliable. Let's check out the matches and look for the best opportunities!

[19/09] (16:00) - Atlético-MG vs Chapecoense

Atlético-MG are currently 7th in the league with 39 points. Over their last 5 Brasileirão matches, they have recorded a performance rate of 67.5%. Galo host Chapecoense, who are bottom of the competition in 20th place with 17 points and a goal difference of -24. Their performance rate over the last 5 matches is only 45%.

According to my model's calculations, Atlético-MG have a better chance of winning the match, as you can see in the image below.

When it comes to goals, this match has a good chance of producing over 1.5 goals.

My pick for this match is Atlético-MG to win and over 1.5 goals in the match.

[19/09] (17:00) - Mirassol vs Botafogo

Mirassol are currently 15th in the league with 29 points. Over their last 5 Brasileirão matches, they have won only one game and recorded a performance rate of 52.5%. They host Botafogo, who are 14th in the competition and have not won in 5 matches. Their performance rate over the last 5 matches is only 27.5%.

According to my model's calculations, Mirassol have a better chance of winning the match, as you can see in the image below. However, I do not usually place much trust in teams with a performance rate below 60% over their last 5 matches.

When it comes to goals, this match has a good chance of producing over 1.5 goals.

My pick for this match is over 1.5 goals.

[19/09] (18:30) - Remo vs Santos

Remo are second from bottom in the competition, sitting 17th with only 23 points. They have lost their last 4 Brasileirão matches and recorded a performance rate of only 5% over their last 5 games. Remo host Santos, who are 10th with 35 points and are enjoying a very good run of form. Their performance rate over the last 5 matches is 92.5%.

According to my model's calculations, Santos have a better chance of winning the match, as you can see in the image below.

When it comes to goals, this match has a reasonable chance of producing over 1.5 goals.

My pick for this match is over 1.5 goals.

[19/09] (20:30) - Vasco vs Coritiba

Vasco are currently 17th in the league with only 28 points. They have recorded a performance rate of 50% over their last 5 matches and are in the relegation zone. Vasco host Coritiba, who are 8th with 38 points. Their performance rate over the last 5 matches is 55%.

According to my model's calculations, Vasco have a better chance of winning the match, as you can see in the image below. However, I do not usually place much trust in teams with a performance rate below 60% over their last 5 matches.

When it comes to goals, this is not a match that is expected to produce many.

My pick for this match is under 3.5 goals.

[19/09] (21:00) - São Paulo vs Internacional

São Paulo are currently 11th in the league with 33 points. They have recorded a performance rate of 50% over their last 5 matches. São Paulo host Internacional, who are 18th with 28 points. Their performance rate over the last 5 matches is 42.5%.

According to my model's calculations, São Paulo have a better chance of winning the match, as you can see in the image below. However, I do not usually place much trust in teams with a performance rate below 60% over their last 5 matches.

When it comes to goals, over 1.5 goals in the match is very likely.

My pick for this match is over 1.5 goals at the odds shown in the ticket below.

[20/09] (11:00) - Grêmio vs Palmeiras

Grêmio are currently 16th in the league with 28 points. They are coming off two consecutive Brasileirão defeats and have recorded a performance rate of only 20% over their last 5 matches. Grêmio host Palmeiras, who are second in the competition with 56 points and a goal difference of +26. Their performance rate over the last 5 matches is 67.5%.

According to my model's calculations, Palmeiras have a better chance of winning the match, as you can see in the image below.

When it comes to goals, over 1.5 goals in the match is very likely.

My pick for this match is Palmeiras to win or draw at the odds shown in the ticket below.

[20/09] (16:00) - Corinthians vs Fluminense

Corinthians are currently 13th in the league with 32 points. They are coming off five consecutive Brasileirão defeats and have recorded a performance rate of 0% over their last 5 matches. Corinthians host Fluminense, who are 5th in the competition with 45 points. Their performance rate over the last 5 matches is 60%.

According to my model's calculations, this is an evenly balanced match with a tendency toward a draw, as you can see in the image below.

When it comes to goals, over 1.5 goals in the match is very likely.

The pick I like most for this match is over 1.5 goals at the odds shown in the ticket below.

[20/09] (16:00) - Vitória vs Cruzeiro

Vitória are currently 12th in the league with 23 points. They have recorded a performance rate of 50% over their last 5 matches. Vitória host Cruzeiro, who are 6th in the competition with 42 points. Their performance rate over the last 5 matches is also 50%.

According to my model's calculations, Vitória are slight favourites to win the match, as you can see in the image below. However, I do not usually place much trust in teams with a performance rate below 60% over their last 5 matches.

When it comes to goals, over 1.5 goals in the match is very likely.

My pick for this match is over 1.5 goals.

[20/09] (18:30) - Flamengo vs Bragantino

Flamengo lead the competition, sitting 1st with 57 points and a goal difference of +31. They have recorded a performance rate of 90% over their last 5 matches. The Rubro-Negro host Bragantino, who are 9th in the competition with 36 points and have not won in 3 matches. Their performance rate over the last 5 matches is only 35%.

According to my model's calculations, Flamengo are strong favourites to win the match, as you can see in the image below.

When it comes to goals, over 1.5 goals in the match is very likely.

My pick for this match is Flamengo to win and to score more than 1 goal.

[20/09] (19:30) - Athletico-PR vs Bahia

Athletico-PR are 3rd in the competition with 46 points and have not won in 3 matches. They have recorded a performance rate of only 45% over their last 5 matches. Athletico host Bahia, who are 4th in the competition with 46 points and are coming off 4 consecutive Brasileirão wins. Their performance rate over the last 5 matches is 95%.

According to my model's calculations, this is an evenly balanced match with a tendency toward a draw, as you can see in the image below.

When it comes to goals, over 1.5 goals in the match is very likely.

My pick for this match is over 1.5 goals at the odds shown in the ticket below.

Bet slip ready for this matchday

Lucky Accumulator (Bingo) for this matchday