FC Midtjylland vs FC København: Result, H2H, Stats & Highlights

At a glance

The statistical model gives FC Midtjylland a 47% probability to beat FC København, with the draw at 25% and a FC København win at 28%.

The model estimates a 57% probability of more than 2.5 goals in FC Midtjylland vs FC København.

The model puts the probability that both FC Midtjylland and FC København score at 58%.

FC Midtjylland vs FC København kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:00.

FC Midtjylland vs FC København Prediction: Superliga Top-Two Clash

Welcome to Extratips for a major Danish Superliga showdown. FC Midtjylland host FC København at MCH Arena in Herning on Sunday, October 11, 2026, with kick-off at 16:00.

København lead the table with 24 points from nine matches. Midtjylland are second on 19 points after five wins, four draws, and no defeats. That gap adds pressure, but the home side can close the distance in front of its own fans.

The market gives Home at 2.40, Over 2.5 goals at 1.57, and Both Teams To Score at 1.50. The model agrees with the attacking view: Home leads the 1X2 forecast at 40.0%, while Yes reaches 57.7% and Over 2.5 stands at 55.1%.

Midtjylland face a serious team-news issue. Elias Olafsson, Magnus Jensen, Martin Erlic, David Martinez, Kjell Wätjen, and several others are unavailable or doubtful. Rasmus Kristensen and Abdou Aziz Ndiaye are also suspended. That could test their defensive depth against a København side enjoying a perfect 8-0-1 start.

The key storyline is whether Midtjylland's home energy can outweigh København's stronger league position. Expect a fast, physical contest, with both sides finding moments in the final third. A narrow 2-1 home win is the preferred scoreline, although the visitors have enough quality to keep the result uncertain.

FC Midtjylland vs FC København Predictions & Analysis

Our prediction model gives FC Midtjylland a 47% win probability, FC København 28%, and the draw 25%.

Both Teams to Score Prediction

BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 58%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.

Goals Prediction

Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 57%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.

Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work

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FC Midtjylland vs FC København: frequently asked questions

Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.

Our picks

Won1x22.40

FC Midtjylland to win

The model gives Home a 40.0% probability, the highest 1X2 outcome. Midtjylland have home advantage at MCH Arena and sit second with 19 points, while København lead with 24 points. The market lists 2.40 for Home, but Midtjylland's defensive injuries make this a close call. Recent head-to-head meetings have generally been competitive, so a narrow home win is the lean.

WonBoth Teams To Score1.50

Both teams to score: Yes

The model gives Yes a 57.7% probability. The odds are 1.50, implying strong market support for goals at both ends. These are the top two teams, and their attacking quality should create chances despite Midtjylland's long injury list. The head-to-head rivalry is often tight but open, making 1-1 or 2-1 plausible scorelines.

WonOver/Under1.57

Over 2.5 goals

The model gives Over 2.5 a 55.1% probability. The best listed 2.5 price is 1.57, which also points toward an active goal market. Both teams are near the top of the table, and the combination of strong attacks, home pressure, and defensive absences supports at least three goals. A 2-1 result fits the overall match profile.

Our picks

Accumulator odds

Stake

Total Odds

5.65

Potential Winnings

$232.60

FC Midtjylland to win

1x2 / Home

2.40

Both teams to score: Yes

Both Teams To Score / Yes

1.50

Over 2.5 goals

Over/Under / Over 2.5

1.57

Bet on

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*Odds available at time of writing.

Full Time Result

47%

Home

Fair odd 2.14

25%

Draw

Fair odd 3.94

28%

Away

Fair odd 3.59

Over 1.5 Goals

Over 79%

Under 21%

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 57%

Under 43%

Over 3.5 Goals

Over 35%

Under 65%

Both Teams To Score

Yes 58%

No 42%

First Half Winner

37%

Home

39%

Draw

24%

Away

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT

Home

Draw

Away

Home

30%

5%

2%

Draw

15%

10%

Away

4%

5%

15%

Correct Score

Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

0

5.8

6.3

3.7

1.9

1

8.6

11.3

6.9

2.9

2

6.9

9.0

6.5

2.3

3

4.1

5.0

3.3

1.6

4

5

6

7

bet365

EU

1

2.87+24.78%

34.78%win

X

21.00+483.33%

4.76%win

2

501.00+18455.56%

0.2%win

1xbet

EU

1

2.90+16.00%

34.48%win

X

3.63+0.83%

27.55%win

2

2.32-7.94%

43.1%win

Betfair

EU

1

2.75+12.24%

36.36%win

X

3.50-5.41%

28.57%win

2

2.30-8.00%

43.48%win

Betsson

EU

1

1.62-44.52%

61.73%win

X

3.30-4.35%

30.3%win

2

5.35+132.61%

18.69%win

BetVictor

EU

1

2.63+7.35%

38.02%win

X

3.40-2.86%

29.41%win

2

2.38-4.80%

42.02%win

bwin

EU

1

1.61-34.29%

62.11%win

X

3.20-11.11%

31.25%win

2

5.75+125.49%

17.39%win

Cashpoint

EU

1

1.62-33.88%

61.73%win

X

3.39-4.51%

29.5%win

2

6.14+145.60%

16.29%win

CloudBet

EU

1

1.64-7.87%

60.98%win

X

3.30-5.71%

30.3%win

2

6.25+43.68%

16%win

Coral

EU

1

2.70+13.92%

37.04%win

X

3.25-4.41%

30.77%win

2

2.30-8.00%

43.48%win

Dafabet

EU

1

2.65+6.85%

37.74%win

X

3.600.00%

27.78%win

2

2.550.00%

39.22%win

Interwetten

EU

1

2.85+14.00%

35.09%win

X

3.55+1.43%

28.17%win

2

2.25-15.09%

44.44%win

Ladbrokes

EU

1

2.70+13.92%

37.04%win

X

3.25-4.41%

30.77%win

2

2.30-8.00%

43.48%win

Macauslot

EU

1

2.51+5.91%

39.84%win

X

3.68-1.08%

27.17%win

2

2.21-4.74%

45.25%win

MansionBet

EU

1

1.64-34.66%

60.98%win

X

3.10-12.68%

32.26%win

2

5.90+135.06%

16.95%win

Marathonbet

EU

1

2.74+18.10%

36.5%win

X

3.54-3.01%

28.25%win

2

2.34-13.33%

42.74%win

MelBet

EU

1

1.66-33.60%

60.1%win

X

3.56-1.11%

28.09%win

2

5.82+130.95%

17.18%win

Pinnacle

EU

1

2.82+11.02%

35.46%win

X

3.72-1.59%

26.88%win

2

2.43-4.71%

41.15%win

Sbo

EU

1

2.62+11.49%

38.17%win

X

3.23-3.29%

30.96%win

2

2.38-5.56%

42.02%win

Unibet

EU

1

1.61-32.35%

62.11%win

X

3.45-2.82%

28.99%win

2

6.00+126.42%

16.67%win

WilliamHill

EU

1

2.62+4.80%

38.17%win

X

3.400.00%

29.41%win

2

2.40-2.04%

41.67%win

Bookmaker	1	X	2
bet365	2.87 34.78%win	21.00 4.76%win	501.00 0.2%win
1xbet	2.90 34.48%win	3.63 27.55%win	2.32 43.1%win
Betfair	2.75 36.36%win	3.50 28.57%win	2.30 43.48%win
Betsson	1.62 61.73%win	3.30 30.3%win	5.35 18.69%win
BetVictor	2.63 38.02%win	3.40 29.41%win	2.38 42.02%win
bwin	1.61 62.11%win	3.20 31.25%win	5.75 17.39%win
Cashpoint	1.62 61.73%win	3.39 29.5%win	6.14 16.29%win
CloudBet	1.64 60.98%win	3.30 30.3%win	6.25 16%win
Coral	2.70 37.04%win	3.25 30.77%win	2.30 43.48%win
Dafabet	2.65 37.74%win	3.60 27.78%win	2.55 39.22%win
Interwetten	2.85 35.09%win	3.55 28.17%win	2.25 44.44%win
Ladbrokes	2.70 37.04%win	3.25 30.77%win	2.30 43.48%win
Macauslot	2.51 39.84%win	3.68 27.17%win	2.21 45.25%win
MansionBet	1.64 60.98%win	3.10 32.26%win	5.90 16.95%win
Marathonbet	2.74 36.5%win	3.54 28.25%win	2.34 42.74%win
MelBet	1.66 60.1%win	3.56 28.09%win	5.82 17.18%win
Pinnacle	2.82 35.46%win	3.72 26.88%win	2.43 41.15%win
Sbo	2.62 38.17%win	3.23 30.96%win	2.38 42.02%win
Unibet	1.61 62.11%win	3.45 28.99%win	6.00 16.67%win
WilliamHill	2.62 38.17%win	3.40 29.41%win	2.40 41.67%win

No head-to-head matches found

#	Team	P	W	D	L	DIFF	GLS	Pts	Last 5
1	FC København	11	8	1	2	+14	25:11	25	DLWWW
2	FC Midtjylland	11	7	4	0	+10	21:11	25	WWDWD
3	Viborg FF	11	6	2	3	+8	18:10	20	LWWDL
4	Nordsjælland	11	5	4	2	+4	17:13	19	DDLWD
5	Brøndby IF	11	5	1	5	-1	18:19	16	LWLLL
6	Horsens	11	3	4	4	-1	18:19	13	DDDLW
7	Odense BK	11	3	4	4	-5	10:15	13	WDDWL
8	Silkeborg IF	11	2	5	4	-4	15:19	11	LDWDD
9	Randers FC	11	3	2	6	-5	11:16	11	DLLLW
10	AGF	11	1	6	4	-3	15:18	9	DWDLD
11	Sønderjyske Fodbold	11	2	2	7	-8	16:24	8	WLWDL
12	Lyngby Boldklub	11	1	5	5	-9	15:24	8	DLLDW