EU
At a glance
The statistical model gives Fenerbahçe a 58% probability to beat Roma, with the draw at 23% and a Roma win at 19%.
The model estimates a 54% probability of more than 2.5 goals in Fenerbahçe vs Roma.
The model puts the probability that both Fenerbahçe and Roma score at 52%.
Fenerbahçe vs Roma kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 16:45.
Fenerbahçe vs Roma Preview
Welcome to Extratips for this big Champions League night in Istanbul. Fenerbahçe host Roma at Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium on 2026-09-10, and the mood should be fierce. The model leans home, with 58.0% for Fenerbahçe, while BTTS sits at 51.5% and Over 2.5 at 54.1%. That points to a tight but lively game.
The key price is 2.4500 for a home win, with 1.7000 on BTTS Yes and 1.9000 on Over 2.5. Fenerbahçe should feed off the crowd, but Roma have the quality to keep this honest. The best read is a home edge, with both sides likely to find space. On paper, this looks like a strong contest with goals and drama.
Match Read
Fenerbahçe look well set to control stretches of the game, but Roma can punish any lapse. The clash should turn on tempo, pressing, and who handles the big moments better.
Main call
A home win feels most likely, with goals at both ends and a strong chance of three or more goals.
Fenerbahçe vs Roma Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Fenerbahçe a 58% win probability, Roma 19%, and the draw 23%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 52%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 54%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 77
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Fenerbahçe vs Roma: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
1x22.4500
Fenerbahçe to win
The model gives Home a 58.0% probability, and that makes Fenerbahçe the clear lean. Roma are dangerous, but Istanbul is a tough place to visit, and the home edge matters in a match like this. The available odds also back the home side at 2.4500, which fits the model’s view.
1.7000
Both teams to score
The model gives Yes a 51.5% probability, so it slightly favors goals at both ends. Fenerbahçe at home should create chances, while Roma have enough quality to answer back. The BTTS price of 1.7000 also points to a game where both attacks can land.
Over/Under1.9000
Over 2.5 goals
The model gives Over 2.5 a 54.1% probability, so it narrowly supports a higher-scoring match. With the home side pushed by the crowd and Roma able to play on the front foot, three goals is a live outcome. The 1.9000 odds are in line with that view.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
Total Odds
7.91
Potential Winnings
$345.68
Fenerbahçe to win
1x2 / Home
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score / Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Over/Under / Over 2.5
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*Odds available at time of writing.
Full Time Result
58%
Home
Fair odd 1.72
23%
Draw
Fair odd 4.43
19%
Away
Fair odd 5.15
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 77%
Under 23%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 54%
Under 46%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 31%
Under 69%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 52%
No 48%
First Half Winner
41%
Home
41%
Draw
18%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
36%
4%
2%
Draw
21%
13%
7%
Away
4%
4%
11%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
6.4
5.9
2.7
0.9
1
11.1
10.3
5.2
1.4
2
9.5
10.3
4.7
1.4
3
6.3
6.0
3.4
1.0
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
No head-to-head matches found
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | ||
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | ||
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | ||
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | ||
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | ||
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | ||
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | ||
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | ||
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | ||
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | ||
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | ||
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | ||
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | ||
| 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | ||
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | ||
| 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | ||
| 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | ||
| 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | ||
| 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | ||
| 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | ||
| 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | ||
| 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | ||
| 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | ||
| 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | ||
| 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | ||
| 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | ||
| 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | ||
| 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | ||
| 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | ||
| 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | ||
| 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | ||
| 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | ||
| 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | ||
| 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | ||
| 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | ||
| 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
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