At a glance
The statistical model gives Fiorentina a 38% probability to beat Como, with the draw at 26% and a Como win at 35%.
The model estimates a 52% probability of more than 2.5 goals in Fiorentina vs Como.
The model puts the probability that both Fiorentina and Como score at 54%.
Fiorentina vs Como kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 13:00.
Fiorentina vs Como Prediction: Serie A Preview and Betting Tips
Welcome to Extratips for the Fiorentina–Como match prediction. The game starts on October 18, 2026, at 13:00 at Stadio Artemio Franchi in Florence.
Como arrive seventh with 10 points, while Fiorentina sit 19th with four. That gap should make the hosts more urgent, but it also highlights their shaky start. Fiorentina have struggled at home, while Como have already shown they can win away. The latest injury information lists Riccardo Sottil out for Fiorentina and Jayden Addai missing for Como.
The top prices are Como at 2.0500, Both Teams To Score at 1.5700, and Over 2.5 goals at 1.6500. Together, they suggest a close but lively contest.
The last five meetings were Fiorentina 2–0 Como, Fiorentina 0–2 Como, Fiorentina 1–2 Como, Fiorentina 1–3 Como, and Como 1–2 Fiorentina. Como lead that run three wins to two, with no draws. Both sides scored in three of those games, while four cleared 2.5 goals.
Como's edge comes from stronger league form, better recent results, and a more confident attack. Fiorentina still have home quality and real pressure to respond. The main storyline is simple: can the Viola turn the Franchi into a fortress, or will Como deepen their recent dominance?
A high-likelihood scenario is an open match with chances for both teams. A medium-likelihood outcome is a narrow Como win, such as 2–1. A lower-likelihood script is Fiorentina controlling the game and winning a tight 1–0. The best-aligned picks are Como, Both Teams To Score, and Over 2.5 goals.
Fiorentina vs Como Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Fiorentina a 38% win probability, Como 35%, and the draw 26%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 54%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 52%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
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Fiorentina vs Como: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Como to win.
The model gives Como a 37.1% probability of winning, narrowly ahead of Fiorentina at 37.0%. Como sit seventh with 10 points, while Fiorentina are 19th with four. Como have won three of the last five meetings, including the latest 2-1 league clash, and the away price is 2.0500.
Both teams to score: Yes.
The model gives Both Teams To Score a 53.7% probability. The market price of 1.5700 also points to a strong chance of goals at both ends. Recent head-to-head games have produced open contests, with Como scoring eight and Fiorentina six across the last five meetings. Fiorentina's defensive record has been a concern, while Como's attack has scored in each of those recent fixtures.
Over 2.5 goals.
The model gives Over 2.5 a 51.8% probability. The available 1.6500 price supports a game with at least three goals. The last five meetings produced 16 goals in total, and Fiorentina have conceded heavily during a difficult start. Como's recent scoring form adds further weight to an attacking match.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
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*Odds available at time of writing.








