At a glance
The statistical model gives Juventus a 46% probability to win away against Fiorentina, with the draw at 27% and a Fiorentina win at 27%.
The model estimates a 53% probability of fewer than 2.5 goals in Fiorentina vs Juventus.
The model puts the probability that both Fiorentina and Juventus score at 51%.
Fiorentina vs Juventus kicks off on Sunday 08 November 2026 at 19:45.
Fiorentina vs Juventus: Serie A Match Prediction
Welcome to Extratips for a lively Stadio Artemio Franchi showdown on 8 November 2026. Juventus arrive with the edge: they are eighth on 15 points, while Fiorentina sit 18th with five after nine matches. The visitors have won four league games, compared with Fiorentina’s one.
Form and Key Angles
Fiorentina’s recent run reads draw, loss, loss, loss, draw. Their last five home results include a 2–2 draw with Atalanta, a 1–3 loss to Como, and a 1–1 draw with Napoli. Juventus have answered with wins over Genoa and Lecce, although injuries remain a concern, with Kenan Yıldız and several squad players listed as unavailable or doubtful.
The recent head-to-head record is mixed but favors Juventus overall: 1–0 Juventus, 2–2, 3–0 Fiorentina, 1–1, then 2–0 Juventus. That points to a tense rivalry, with narrow margins likely. Juventus offer the stronger structure and better league position, while Fiorentina have home energy and enough attacking threat to score.
The top prices are Juventus at 1.9500, BTTS Yes at 1.6600, and Under 2.5 at 2.0000. The model gives Juventus 44.9% to win, BTTS Yes 50.8%, and Under 2.5 53.4%. The likeliest script is a cautious Juventus victory, perhaps 2–1 or 1–0. A 1–1 draw is a medium-risk alternative if Fiorentina turn the Franchi into a cauldron. Overall, the conclusion is clear: Juventus have the stronger platform, but this Derby dell’Appennino should remain competitive.
Fiorentina vs Juventus Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Fiorentina a 27% win probability, Juventus 46%, and the draw 27%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 51%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Under 2.5 at 53%, indicating a lower-scoring affair is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 65
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Fiorentina vs Juventus: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Juventus to win.
The model gives Juventus a 44.9% probability of winning, the highest 1X2 outcome. The odds are 1.9500, while Juventus sit eighth with 15 points and Fiorentina are 18th with five. Juventus have also won the latest meeting 2–0 and hold the stronger overall head-to-head record.
Both teams to score: Yes.
The model gives Both Teams To Score — Yes — a 50.8% probability. The odds are 1.6600, and Fiorentina’s recent games have produced open scorelines, including 2–2 with Atalanta and 1–3 against Como. Juventus have scored in recent wins over Genoa and Lecce, but Fiorentina’s defensive record suggests they may also find a goal at home.
Under 2.5 goals.
The model gives Under 2.5 a 53.4% probability, making it the leading total-goals outcome. The available odds are 2.0000. Juventus have recently recorded controlled 2–0 wins against Genoa and Lecce, while the last five listed head-to-head meetings include several tight results, supporting a close match despite the BTTS lean.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
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*Odds available at time of writing.








