EU
At a glance
The statistical model gives Frosinone a 54% probability to beat Lecce, with the draw at 24% and a Lecce win at 21%.
The model estimates a 54% probability of more than 2.5 goals in Frosinone vs Lecce.
The model puts the probability that both Frosinone and Lecce score at 54%.
Frosinone vs Lecce kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 17:30.
Frosinone vs Lecce Prediction: Serie A Preview
Welcome to Extratips for the Thursday night clash at Stadio Benito Stirpe. Frosinone host Lecce on 29 October 2026, with kick-off at 17:30. The hosts have made the sharper start: sixth place, 13 points and a 13-9 goal record. Lecce sit 12th with nine points and a 9-12 record, so both teams have plenty to prove.
The market leans strongly toward Frosinone at 1.9000, while Both Teams To Score is priced at 1.5300 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.5700. Frosinone's recent league form is W-L-W-D-W, whereas Lecce have mixed results but recently beat Udinese 3-0 away. That win gives the visitors belief, though defensive lapses remain a concern.
Recent meetings favour Lecce. The last five were Lecce 3-0 Frosinone, Frosinone 0-0 Lecce, Lecce 1-0 Frosinone, Lecce 2-1 Frosinone and Frosinone 1-1 Lecce. Lecce have therefore avoided defeat in those games, but Frosinone now bring better momentum and home backing.
The key battle is simple: Frosinone's stronger balance against Lecce's dangerous counterattack. Injuries may also matter, with Lecce reportedly carrying several absences. The likeliest script is a lively home win, perhaps 2-1. A tighter draw is possible, but Frosinone remain the best call.
Frosinone vs Lecce Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Frosinone a 54% win probability, Lecce 21%, and the draw 24%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 54%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 54%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 48
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Frosinone vs Lecce: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
1x21.9000
Frosinone to win.
The model gives Home a 54.2% probability, while the listed odds are 1.9000. Frosinone sit sixth with 13 points after seven matches, compared with Lecce in 12th on nine points. The hosts have won four league games, including three of their last five, and home advantage strengthens their case. Lecce lead the recent head-to-head record, but Frosinone's stronger start makes a home win the preferred result.
Both Teams To Score1.5300
Both teams to score: Yes.
The model gives Yes a 54.2% probability, and the available odds are 1.5300. Frosinone have scored 13 and conceded nine in seven matches, while Lecce have scored nine and conceded 12. Lecce's recent results include a 3-0 win at Udinese and a 3-2 win over Monza, showing attacking threat despite defensive gaps. The recent head-to-head sequence has also produced goals, supporting both teams finding the net.
Over/Under1.5700
Over 2.5 total goals.
The model gives Over 2.5 a 53.6% probability, with listed odds of 1.5700. Frosinone's seven league matches have produced 22 total goals, while Lecce's have produced 21. Both sides have shown a clear ability to score, and Lecce's defence has allowed 12 goals. A 2-1 home win fits the model's Home, Both Teams To Score and Over 2.5 selections.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
Total Odds
4.56
Potential Winnings
$178.20
Frosinone to win.
1x2 / Home
Both teams to score: Yes.
Both Teams To Score / Yes
Over 2.5 total goals.
Over/Under / Over 2.5
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*Odds available at time of writing.
Full Time Result
54%
Home
Fair odd 1.84
24%
Draw
Fair odd 4.10
21%
Away
Fair odd 4.69
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 77%
Under 23%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 54%
Under 46%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 32%
Under 68%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 54%
No 46%
First Half Winner
40%
Home
40%
Draw
20%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
33%
5%
2%
Draw
17%
15%
7%
Away
3%
6%
11%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
6.2
5.8
3.2
1.0
1
10.7
11.8
5.7
1.9
2
8.7
9.9
5.3
1.8
3
5.5
5.7
3.3
1.0
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
No head-to-head matches found
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +13 | 23:10 | 22 | WWWDW | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 16:5 | 22 | WWWWD | |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +13 | 19:6 | 18 | DWDDW | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 14:7 | 17 | WWDLW | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 14:7 | 15 | WDWDD | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 17:13 | 14 | DWLWD | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13:11 | 13 | WWWDL | |
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 6:9 | 13 | LLDWW | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 13:10 | 11 | DLWDW | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 9:8 | 11 | LDWLD | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 14:15 | 10 | DLWLL | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 9:12 | 9 | WLLWL | |
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8:10 | 8 | WLWDL | |
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 12:16 | 8 | LLDLW | |
| 15 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 15:18 | 7 | LWLWL | |
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 6:13 | 7 | WLWLD | |
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 9:16 | 4 | LLLLL | |
| 18 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 9:19 | 4 | LLLDW | |
| 19 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 5:15 | 4 | LLLWL | |
| 20 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -11 | 6:17 | 3 | LWLLL |
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