AC Milan to win
Odds at 1.80 reflect Milan's 55.56% win probability. Superior form, away record (3 wins in last 5), and H2H edge make them clear favorites over struggling Genoa.
Welcome to Extratips, your go-to spot for top football predictions! We're diving into Genoa vs AC Milan in Serie A on May 17, 2026. Kickoff at 00:00 UTC. Milan chase a top-four finish. Genoa fight to stay safe from drop zone.
Key Odds Breakdown:
Standings & Motivation: Milan sit 4th with 65 points. They need wins for Champions League. Genoa 15th on 32 points. Relegation battle keeps them hungry.
Head-to-Head Last 5: Milan 2-0 Genoa (2025), Draw 1-1, Genoa 1-0 Milan, Milan 3-1 Genoa, Milan 2-1 Genoa. Milan edge recent ties.
Recent Form: Genoa home: W-L-D-W-L (2W, 1D, 2L). Milan away: W-W-D-W-L (3W, 1D, 1L). Solid road form for Rossoneri.
Genoa Strengths: Tough at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. Quick counters. Weaknesses: Leaky defense (12 goals conceded last 5). Poor finishing.
Milan Strengths: Deadly attack led by Leao. Midfield control. Weaknesses: Occasional away slips. Injury worries.
Key Factors: No major injuries reported. Milan's new 4-2-3-1 tactic shines. Genoa's home crowd boosts spirit.
Storylines: 1. Milan's title push vs Genoa survival scrap—pure drama! 2. Leao magic? His speed kills defenses. 3. Revenge angle after last draw.
Team Compare: Milan dominate possession (58% avg). Genoa rely on set pieces. Both score freely but Milan cleaner at back.
Scenarios: 1. Milan win 2-0 (high chance). Clean sheet likely. 2. Draw 1-1 (medium). Genoa park bus. 3. Genoa upset (low). Counter storm.
Expect Milan's class to shine. Predictions below!
Total votes: 73
Odds at 1.80 reflect Milan's 55.56% win probability. Superior form, away record (3 wins in last 5), and H2H edge make them clear favorites over struggling Genoa.
At 1.80 odds (55.56% implied), Milan's solid defense likely shuts out Genoa, who struggle to score. Fits with predicted Milan clean-sheet win.
Odds around 1.90 (52-54% chance) suit low-scoring affair. Milan's control plus Genoa's woes point to 2-0 or 1-0, under line hit often in H2H.
Our picks
*Odds available at time of writing.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | +54 | 89:35 | 87 | DDWWD | |
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | +22 | 58:36 | 76 | WWLDW | |
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | +28 | 59:31 | 73 | WWWWW | |
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | +36 | 65:29 | 71 | WWWDW | |
| 5 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | +18 | 53:35 | 70 | LWLLD | |
| 6 | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | +27 | 61:34 | 69 | DLWDD | |
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | +15 | 51:36 | 59 | DLWDL | |
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | +3 | 49:46 | 56 | DWWDL | |
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | +1 | 41:40 | 54 | WLLWD | |
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | -3 | 45:48 | 50 | LLWWD | |
| 11 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -4 | 46:50 | 49 | LLLWD | |
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | -19 | 44:63 | 45 | DLWLD | |
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -18 | 28:46 | 45 | WLLLW | |
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -13 | 40:53 | 43 | WWLDW | |
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | -9 | 41:50 | 42 | DWDLD | |
| 16 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -10 | 41:51 | 41 | LLDDL | |
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | -22 | 28:50 | 38 | WWLWD | |
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | -25 | 32:57 | 34 | LWWLL | |
| 19 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | -36 | 25:61 | 21 | LDLDD | |
| 20 | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | -45 | 26:71 | 18 | LLLLL |