The model gives Home a 50.0% probability, making it the top 1X2 outcome. Gil Vicente also has the clearer price at 2.1800, while Marítimo are longer at 3.4800 and 3.5600, which supports the home edge. On paper, the home side should have enough control at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos.

The model gives Yes a 50.7% probability, just ahead of No. That small lean suggests a tight game where both sides can find a goal. With Gil Vicente favored at home but Marítimo still capable of hurting teams away, BTTS fits the balance of the fixture.

The model gives Under 2.5 a 53.2% probability, so it is the top total-goals pick. That points to a controlled match rather than a wild one. The 1X2 market also leans home, which matches a narrow scoreline more than a high-scoring open game.