EU
Extratips Match Preview: Hearts vs Benfica
Hearts welcome Benfica to Tynecastle Park in a Europa League clash that should bring tempo and pressure. The model sees Benfica as the stronger side, but Hearts at home can make this ugly and loud. The market also points to goals, with both teams to score and over 2.5 both drawing a slight edge.
Benfica’s price is the shortest at 1.4700, while the draw sits at 4.1000 and Hearts at 7.2000. That tells the story: the visitors are expected to control more of the game. Our model backs Away at 48.2%, BTTS Yes at 54.3%, and Over 2.5 at 52.4%.
Tynecastle gives Hearts a real boost, but Benfica’s quality should tell over 90 minutes. The most natural script is a tight start, a Benfica lead, and a home response that keeps the scoreline open. Still, a clear away win remains the best call.
Hearts vs Benfica Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Hearts a 30% win probability, Benfica 45%, and the draw 25%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 55%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 53%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only — bet responsibly.
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 94
TV Channels
Our picks
Lost1x21.4700
Benfica to win
The model gives Away a 48.2% probability, the highest in the 1X2 market. Benfica also have the shorter price at 1.4700, which matches that edge, while Hearts are clear outsiders at 7.3000. The matchup leans to the stronger side, and the away win is the most likely outcome on paper.
WonBoth Teams To Score
Both teams to score - Yes
The model gives Yes a 54.3% probability, so both sides scoring is the top call. Benfica should create chances, but Hearts at Tynecastle can usually push back at home. That mix makes a goals-for-both script slightly more likely than a clean sheet either way.
LostOver/Under
Over 2.5 goals
The model gives Over 2.5 a 52.4% probability, just ahead of Under 2.5. Benfica’s attacking edge points to a lively game, and Hearts may need to open up at home if they fall behind. That supports a match with at least three goals.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
Total Odds
1.47
Potential Winnings
$23.50
Benfica to win
1x2 / Away
#ad
*Odds available at time of writing.
Full Time Result
30%
Home
Fair odd 3.39
25%
Draw
Fair odd 4.00
45%
Away
Fair odd 2.20
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 76%
Under 24%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 53%
Under 47%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 31%
Under 69%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 55%
No 45%
First Half Winner
22%
Home
43%
Draw
35%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
15%
5%
3%
Draw
12%
15%
16%
Away
2%
5%
28%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
6.6
9.5
7.3
4.1
1
7.5
11.6
9.1
4.6
2
4.5
7.1
5.4
3.2
3
2.0
2.8
2.0
1.3
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
No head-to-head matches found
Standings are not available yet