FSV Mainz 05 to win
Mainz holds edge in odds at 2.27 with 44% probability. Better recent away form (2 wins in 5) and head-to-head tips them over Heidenheim's home reliance.
Welcome to Extratips, your go-to spot for top football predictions! Today, we dive into the exciting Bundesliga matchup between Heidenheim and FSV Mainz 05, set for May 16, 2026, at 13:30. This mid-table battle could shake up the standings.
Key Match Facts
Heidenheim hosts at their fortress. Mainz eyes points on the road. Odds favor Mainz slightly at 2.27 (44% chance), Heidenheim at 2.73 (37%), draw 4.06 (25%). This hints at a tight game with away edge.
Standings & Motivation
Heidenheim sits 10th with 38 points. Mainz 7th on 42 points. Both chase Europe; no relegation worry, but pride and momentum matter.
Head-to-Head (Last 5)
Mainz 2-1 Heidenheim (2025), Draw 1-1, Heidenheim 3-2, Mainz 0-0, Heidenheim 1-0. Even split; goals common.
Recent Form
Heidenheim home: W-L-D-W-L (2W, 1D, 2L). Mainz away: D-W-L-D-W (2W, 2D, 1L). Solid but leaky.
Team Strengths & Weaknesses
Heidenheim: Strengths - Home grit, quick counters (3 goals last home win). Weaknesses - Defense wobbles (conceded in 4/5).
Mainz: Strengths - Attack fire (2.1 goals/game), midfield control. Weaknesses - Away slips (1 loss recent).
Key Factors
No major injuries reported. Heidenheim's new 4-3-3 tactic boosts attack. Mainz misses key midfielder suspended.
Unique Angles
Team Comparison
Heidenheim tougher at home, Mainz sharper upfront. Both score freely; defenses match.
Match Scenarios
Total votes: 88
Mainz holds edge in odds at 2.27 with 44% probability. Better recent away form (2 wins in 5) and head-to-head tips them over Heidenheim's home reliance.
Strong under 3.5 odds at 1.74 (57% chance). Last 5 H2H averaged 2.2 goals; both teams' defenses hold firm in tight games.
Consistent scoring patterns: BTTS in 3/5 H2H and recent forms. Aligns with 1X2 away win and under 3.5 for 2-1 scoreline.
Our picks
*Odds available at time of writing.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | +86 | 122:36 | 89 | WWDWW | |
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | +36 | 70:34 | 73 | WWLWL | |
| 3 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | +19 | 66:47 | 65 | LWLWW | |
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | +22 | 71:49 | 62 | DWDDL | |
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +13 | 65:52 | 61 | LWDWW | |
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +21 | 68:47 | 59 | DLWWL | |
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | -6 | 51:57 | 47 | WLDLW | |
| 8 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -4 | 61:65 | 44 | DLLDL | |
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -16 | 45:61 | 43 | LWWDW | |
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -9 | 44:53 | 40 | WLWLD | |
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -14 | 44:58 | 39 | WWDLL | |
| 12 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -11 | 42:53 | 38 | WLWDD | |
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -14 | 40:54 | 38 | DWWLL | |
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -14 | 49:63 | 32 | LLDLD | |
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -23 | 37:60 | 32 | LLLDW | |
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | -24 | 45:69 | 29 | WLDDW | |
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -31 | 41:72 | 26 | LWDWL | |
| 18 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -31 | 29:60 | 26 | LLLLD |