EU
At a glance
The statistical model gives Levski Sofia a 45% probability to beat Jagiellonia Białystok, with the draw at 22% and a Jagiellonia Białystok win at 33%.
The model estimates a 61% probability of more than 2.5 goals in Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Białystok.
The model puts the probability that both Levski Sofia and Jagiellonia Białystok score at 59%.
Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Białystok kicks off on Thursday 05 November 2026 at 17:45.
Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia: Europa League Prediction
Welcome to Extratips for the Europa League meeting between Levski Sofia and Jagiellonia Białystok. Kick-off is set for 5 November 2026 at 17:45 in Sofia. The supplied venue is Vivacom Arena - Georgi Asparuhov, although some listings show Vasil Levski National Stadium.
The market makes Levski clear favourites at 1.9500, with the draw and Jagiellonia both priced at 3.5000. The top three prices suggest home control, but not a one-sided night. BTTS Yes is available at 1.7000, while Over 2.5 stands at 1.8200.
Levski are listed 17th in the league phase with four points. Jagiellonia sit 27th with three. That narrow gap makes every point valuable. Levski’s recent run is D-W-W-D-W, while Jagiellonia have W-W-L-L-W. Available records show no previous meetings, so there is no direct pattern to trust.
Levski’s home edge, stronger defensive record, and need to climb the table are key positives. Jagiellonia offer pace, away threat, and the confidence of a recent win, but their two recent defeats raise questions. The main storyline is simple: can Levski turn home pressure into three points, or will Jagiellonia punish gaps on the break?
A 2-1 home win looks the most balanced scenario. A high-tempo draw is also possible, while a narrow Jagiellonia win appears less likely. The model favours Home at 45.1%, BTTS Yes at 58.8%, and Over 2.5 at 61.0%. Overall, expect an entertaining match with chances at both ends and Levski holding the edge.
Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Białystok Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Levski Sofia a 45% win probability, Jagiellonia Białystok 33%, and the draw 22%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 59%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 61%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 93
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Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Białystok: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
1x21.9500
Levski Sofia to win
The model gives Home a 45.1% probability, the highest 1X2 outcome. Levski arrive in stronger recent form at home, with a D-W-W-D-W sequence, while Jagiellonia have followed W-W-L-L-W. The market also favors Levski at 1.9500. Levski sit 17th with four points, compared with Jagiellonia in 27th on three, so the hosts have a strong need to win. There is no reliable five-match head-to-head history: available records indicate these teams have not previously met.
Both Teams To Score1.7000
Both teams to score: Yes
The model gives Yes a 58.8% probability, making both teams scoring the leading BTTS outcome. The price of 1.7000 also reflects a likely open contest. Levski have scored in four of their last five listed matches, while Jagiellonia have scored in three of their last five Europa League results. Their contrasting need for points could create chances at both ends, despite the absence of a meaningful head-to-head pattern.
Over/Under1.8200
Over 2.5 goals
The model gives Over 2.5 a 61.0% probability, clearly ahead of Under 2.5 at 39.0%. The odds of 1.8200 support a game with at least three goals. Combined with the model’s BTTS Yes call, the most logical score paths include 2-1 or 2-2. Levski’s strong home results and Jagiellonia’s mixed recent form point to an urgent, attacking match rather than a cautious stalemate.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
Total Odds
6.03
Potential Winnings
$251.67
Levski Sofia to win
1x2 / Home
Both teams to score: Yes
Both Teams To Score / Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Over/Under / Over 2.5
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*Odds available at time of writing.
Full Time Result
45%
Home
Fair odd 2.21
22%
Draw
Fair odd 4.48
33%
Away
Fair odd 3.08
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 82%
Under 18%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 61%
Under 39%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 38%
Under 62%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 59%
No 41%
First Half Winner
37%
Home
39%
Draw
24%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
30%
5%
2%
Draw
16%
12%
11%
Away
3%
5%
17%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
4.1
6.2
4.0
2.4
1
7.7
10.5
7.9
3.5
2
6.5
8.9
5.9
3.1
3
4.0
4.9
3.4
1.5
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
No head-to-head matches found
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 10:2 | 9 | WWW | |
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 8:0 | 9 | WWW | |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 8:1 | 9 | WWW | |
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 9:3 | 9 | WWW | |
| 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 4:1 | 9 | WWW | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 8:1 | 7 | WDW | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 9:3 | 7 | DWW | |
| 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 9:5 | 7 | DWW | |
| 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4:2 | 7 | DWW | |
| 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6:2 | 6 | WWL | |
| 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5:4 | 6 | LWW | |
| 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 5:6 | 6 | LWW | |
| 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 4:3 | 5 | DWD | |
| 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 8:3 | 4 | WDL | |
| 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 8:5 | 4 | DLW | |
| 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5:3 | 4 | LDW | |
| 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 4 | WDL | |
| 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3:4 | 4 | LWD | |
| 19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1:3 | 4 | WLD | |
| 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 5:8 | 4 | WDL | |
| 21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 3:6 | 4 | DLW | |
| 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4:3 | 3 | WLL | |
| 23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5:5 | 3 | WLL | |
| 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 4:5 | 3 | LWL | |
| 25 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3:4 | 3 | WLL | |
| 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3:4 | 3 | LLW | |
| 27 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 4:6 | 3 | LWL | |
| 28 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 4:7 | 3 | LLW | |
| 29 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 2:7 | 1 | DLL | |
| 30 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1:6 | 1 | LLD | |
| 31 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 2:9 | 1 | LDL | |
| 32 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 1:9 | 1 | DLL | |
| 33 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 2:7 | 0 | LLL | |
| 34 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 1:6 | 0 | LLL | |
| 35 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 3:9 | 0 | LLL | |
| 36 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 2:11 | 0 | LLL |
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