At a glance
The statistical model gives Santa Clara a 47% probability to win away against Marítimo, with the draw at 28% and a Marítimo win at 25%.
The model estimates a 60% probability of fewer than 2.5 goals in Marítimo vs Santa Clara.
The model puts the probability that both Marítimo and Santa Clara score at 46%.
Marítimo vs Santa Clara kicks off on Sunday 01 November 2026 at 18:00.
Marítimo vs Santa Clara: Liga Portugal Prediction
Welcome to Extratips for the meeting between Marítimo and Santa Clara on 1 November 2026. The match starts at 18:00 at the neutral Campo da Imaculada Conceição, adding an unusual twist to the contest.
Santa Clara arrive fourth with 18 points from eight matches. They remain unbeaten, with five wins and three draws, and have allowed only four goals. Marítimo sit 13th on eight points after nine games, with two wins, two draws, and five defeats. Their goal record reads 9-19, highlighting problems at both ends.
The best listed 1X2 prices are 2.4500 for Santa Clara, 3.1200 for the draw, and 3.0700 for Marítimo. Those odds make the visitors the market choice. The model agrees, giving Santa Clara a 46.6% win probability, compared with 28.2% for a draw and 25.2% for Marítimo.
Recent results strengthen that view. Santa Clara’s last five league matches show three wins and two draws, including a 1-0 success over Casa Pia and a 0-0 draw with Braga. Marítimo’s last five show two wins? The available table form lists losses and one draw, so their momentum is clearly weaker. A neutral venue may reduce Marítimo’s usual home edge, while Santa Clara’s compact shape suits a cautious game.
The key storyline is simple: Santa Clara are chasing the upper places, while Marítimo need points to escape danger. Expect careful football, few clear chances, and a battle decided by one important moment. The model favors Santa Clara, No BTTS, and Under 2.5 goals. A 0-1 away win is the leading scoreline idea.
Marítimo vs Santa Clara Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Marítimo a 25% win probability, Santa Clara 47%, and the draw 28%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'No' at 54%, suggesting a clean sheet is likely on at least one side.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Under 2.5 at 60%, indicating a lower-scoring affair is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 88
TV Channels
Marítimo vs Santa Clara: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Santa Clara to win.
The model gives Santa Clara a 46.6% probability of winning, the highest 1X2 outcome. Santa Clara sit fourth with 18 points from eight matches and remain unbeaten, while Marítimo are 13th with eight points from nine games. Recent form also favors the visitors, who have won three and drawn two of their last five league matches. The away price of 2.4500 supports Santa Clara as the clearest result pick.
Both teams not to score.
The model gives No a 53.8% probability, narrowly making it the top BTTS outcome. Santa Clara have conceded only four goals in eight league matches, while Marítimo have scored nine and lost five of nine. The defensive gap points toward a controlled Santa Clara win, such as 0-1 or 0-2, rather than an open contest. No BTTS odds were provided.
Under 2.5 total goals.
The model gives Under 2.5 a 59.8% probability, the strongest market signal. Santa Clara’s record is built on a tight 12-4 goal balance, while Marítimo’s recent league results suggest limited attacking consistency. The most likely match scripts are low-scoring, with Santa Clara controlling space and Marítimo struggling to create clear chances. No total-goals odds were provided.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
#ad
*Odds available at time of writing.








