EU
At a glance
The statistical model gives NEC Nijmegen a 42% probability to beat Levski Sofia, with the draw at 25% and a Levski Sofia win at 33%.
The model estimates a 52% probability of more than 2.5 goals in NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia.
The model puts the probability that both NEC Nijmegen and Levski Sofia score at 53%.
NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 19:00.
NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia Prediction
Welcome to Extratips for the Europa League clash between NEC Nijmegen and Levski Sofia. The match starts at 19:00 on 15 October 2026 at Goffertstadion. UEFA lists this as league-phase Matchday 2, with both teams seeking a vital first result.
The market makes NEC clear favourites at 1.8500, ahead of 3.5500 for the draw and 3.3500 for Levski. That points to home advantage, though the model is more cautious: Home leads at 43.0%, with Away on 32.2% and Draw on 24.8%. Both teams to score is priced at 1.6600, while Over 2.5 goals is 1.7500.
The early table shows Levski 27th and NEC 36th, both on zero points. Levski lost 1-0 to Salzburg, while NEC suffered a heavy 5-0 defeat at Juventus. Recent form remains mixed. NEC drew 1-1 with Go Ahead Eagles after losses to Juventus, Cambuur and Feyenoord. Levski lost to Salzburg and CSKA Sofia but beat CSKA 1948 and Slavia Sofia.
There are no recorded previous meetings in the supplied data, so no reliable five-match head-to-head pattern can be claimed. NEC's home crowd is the main edge, but injuries may matter: Emre Mor, Deveron Fonville and Ahmetcan Kaplan are listed as unavailable, while Levski miss Radoslav Kirilov and Akram Bouras.
The key storyline is a battle between NEC's attacking home response and Levski's chance to frustrate a team low on confidence. Expect an energetic start, open transitions and pressure on both back lines. The likeliest script is a narrow NEC win with goals at both ends; a tight draw is the main alternative.
NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives NEC Nijmegen a 42% win probability, Levski Sofia 33%, and the draw 25%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 53%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 52%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 64
TV Channels
NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
1x21.8500
NEC Nijmegen to win
The model gives Home a 43.0% probability, the highest 1X2 outcome. NEC have home advantage at Goffertstadion, while Levski also lost their opening league-phase match. NEC's recent form is poor, but Levski's 4-0 defeat at AEK and limited European scoring suggest a narrow home edge. The available home odds are 1.8500.
Both Teams To Score1.6600
Both teams to score: Yes
The model gives Yes a 53.7% probability. NEC have conceded 14 goals across their latest listed matches, including five against Juventus and three against Feyenoord, but they scored in three of those fixtures. Levski scored in three of their recent domestic matches and should find chances against a vulnerable NEC defence. The available odds for Yes are 1.6600.
Over/Under1.7500
Over 2.5 goals
The model gives Over 2.5 a 52.2% probability. NEC's recent results include 5-0, 3-0, 2-2 and 1-3, showing open games and defensive gaps. Levski's recent 2-4 defeat also points toward goal potential, while the market lists Over 2.5 at 1.7500. A 2-1 home win fits all three predictions.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
Total Odds
5.37
Potential Winnings
$218.71
NEC Nijmegen to win
1x2 / Home
Both teams to score: Yes
Both Teams To Score / Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Over/Under / Over 2.5
#ad
*Odds available at time of writing.
Full Time Result
42%
Home
Fair odd 2.37
25%
Draw
Fair odd 3.98
33%
Away
Fair odd 3.07
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 75%
Under 25%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 52%
Under 48%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 31%
Under 69%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 53%
No 47%
First Half Winner
31%
Home
43%
Draw
27%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
24%
5%
3%
Draw
14%
14%
12%
Away
2%
5%
21%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
7.3
8.0
5.0
2.3
1
9.7
11.3
7.1
3.4
2
7.0
8.2
5.1
2.5
3
3.5
4.2
3.2
1.2
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
No head-to-head matches found
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 5:0 | 3 | W | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 4:0 | 3 | W | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 4:1 | 3 | W | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 4:1 | 3 | W | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3:0 | 3 | W | |
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3:1 | 3 | W | |
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2:0 | 3 | W | |
| 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2:0 | 3 | W | |
| 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2:0 | 3 | W | |
| 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2:1 | 3 | W | |
| 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2:1 | 3 | W | |
| 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2:1 | 3 | W | |
| 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2:1 | 3 | W | |
| 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1:0 | 3 | W | |
| 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1:0 | 3 | W | |
| 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1:0 | 3 | W | |
| 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 | D | |
| 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 | D | |
| 19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 | D | |
| 20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 | D | |
| 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1:2 | 0 | L | |
| 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1:2 | 0 | L | |
| 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1:2 | 0 | L | |
| 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1:2 | 0 | L | |
| 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0:1 | 0 | L | |
| 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0:1 | 0 | L | |
| 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0:1 | 0 | L | |
| 28 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 1:3 | 0 | L | |
| 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0:2 | 0 | L | |
| 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0:2 | 0 | L | |
| 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0:2 | 0 | L | |
| 32 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 1:4 | 0 | L | |
| 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 1:4 | 0 | L | |
| 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0:3 | 0 | L | |
| 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0:4 | 0 | L | |
| 36 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0:5 | 0 | L |
October 15, 2026
Celje vs Omonia Nicosia
Celje
Omonia Nicosia
16:45
CeljeOmonia NicosiaSalzburg vs AC Milan
Salzburg
AC Milan
16:45
SalzburgAC MilanTorreense vs Sunderland
Torreense
Sunderland
16:45
TorreenseSunderlandLech Poznań vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Lech Poznań
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
16:45
Lech PoznańBayer 04 LeverkusenOlympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace
Olympique Lyonnais
Crystal Palace
16:45
Olympique LyonnaisCrystal PalaceSparta Praha vs Lillestrøm
Sparta Praha
Lillestrøm
16:45
Sparta PrahaLillestrømAZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva
AZ Alkmaar
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
16:45
AZ AlkmaarHapoel Be'er ShevaUnion Saint-Gilloise vs Real Sociedad
Union Saint-Gilloise
Real Sociedad
16:45
Union Saint-GilloiseReal SociedadFerencvárosi vs Viktoria Plzeň
Ferencvárosi
Viktoria Plzeň
19:00
FerencvárosiViktoria PlzeňNEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia
NEC Nijmegen
Levski Sofia
19:00
NEC NijmegenLevski Sofia