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At a glance
The statistical model gives Olympique Lyonnais a 59% probability to beat Nice, with the draw at 23% and a Nice win at 18%.
The model estimates a 57% probability of more than 2.5 goals in Olympique Lyonnais vs Nice.
The model puts the probability that both Olympique Lyonnais and Nice score at 54%.
Olympique Lyonnais vs Nice kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 18:45.
Lyon vs Nice prediction: Ligue 1 match preview
Welcome to Extratips for Lyon vs Nice at Groupama Stadium on 18 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:45. Lyon start as the stronger side: fourth with 11 points and an 11:4 goal record, while Nice sit ninth on 8 points. Lyon have won four of the last five meetings, including a 2-0 victory here in February. The previous five results, chronologically, are Nice 3-2 Lyon, Lyon 2-0 Nice, Lyon 4-1 Nice, Nice 0-2 Lyon, and Lyon 2-0 Nice.
Lyon’s recent edge is clear, but Nice remain capable of causing problems. Lyon have won two, drawn two, and lost one of their last five overall. Nice are without a win in five, with three draws and two defeats. Defensive injuries could affect both teams, with Lyon missing Moussa Niakhaté and Nice carrying several fitness concerns. The main betting signals are Lyon at 1.6500, both teams to score at 1.6600, and Over 2.5 goals at 1.6100.
The likely script is a home win in an energetic match. Lyon should control territory and create the better chances, while Nice may threaten on transitions. A 2-1 Lyon victory fits the form, standings, head-to-head pattern, and attacking outlook. It is also the most natural conclusion from the three selected markets.
Olympique Lyonnais vs Nice Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Olympique Lyonnais a 59% win probability, Nice 18%, and the draw 23%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 54%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 57%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 79
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Olympique Lyonnais vs Nice: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
1x21.6500
Lyon to win.
The model gives Lyon a 58.8% probability of winning. Lyon sit fourth with 11 points, while Nice are ninth with 8 points. Lyon have won four of the last five meetings, including a 2-0 home win in February 2026. The available home price is 1.6500, supporting a Lyon victory at Groupama Stadium.
Both Teams To Score1.6600
Both teams to score: Yes.
The model gives both teams scoring a 54.2% probability. The market price is 1.6600, and recent meetings have produced 17 goals across five games. Nice scored in the 3-2 meeting last October, while Lyon's attacking edge should create chances at home. Lyon's defensive absences add some room for a Nice reply.
Over/Under1.6100
Over 2.5 goals.
The model gives Over 2.5 a 57.0% probability. The best listed price is 1.6100, and the head-to-head series has seen 17 goals in its last five matches. A Lyon win combined with a likely Nice goal points toward an open game reaching at least three goals.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
Total Odds
4.41
Potential Winnings
$170.49
Lyon to win.
1x2 / Home
Both teams to score: Yes.
Both Teams To Score / Yes
Over 2.5 goals.
Over/Under / Over 2.5
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*Odds available at time of writing.
Full Time Result
59%
Home
Fair odd 1.70
23%
Draw
Fair odd 4.32
18%
Away
Fair odd 5.55
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 79%
Under 21%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 57%
Under 43%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 35%
Under 65%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 54%
No 46%
First Half Winner
42%
Home
40%
Draw
18%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
37%
5%
1%
Draw
19%
15%
6%
Away
3%
4%
10%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
5.8
4.9
2.3
1.0
1
10.1
10.5
4.9
1.6
2
9.4
9.9
5.3
1.6
3
6.5
6.0
3.2
1.2
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
No head-to-head matches found
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 10:5 | 14 | DWDWW | |
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 9:4 | 13 | WLWWD | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 12:10 | 13 | WLWWW | |
| 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11:4 | 11 | LWDWD | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 8:4 | 11 | LWDWW | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11:8 | 11 | WWWLD | |
| 7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 12:9 | 8 | WLLWD | |
| 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:6 | 8 | WLDWL | |
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5:7 | 8 | WWLDL | |
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 11:10 | 7 | WLDLL | |
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 11:12 | 7 | LLDWW | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7:10 | 7 | LWDLW | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 9:8 | 6 | WLLLL | |
| 14 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 10:12 | 6 | LWDDL | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9:11 | 6 | DWDLD | |
| 16 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 8:16 | 6 | LWWLL | |
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4:13 | 4 | LLLLW | |
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 4:8 | 2 | LLDLD |
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