EU
At a glance
The statistical model gives Parma a 40% probability to beat Genoa, with the draw at 30% and a Genoa win at 30%.
The model estimates a 63% probability of fewer than 2.5 goals in Parma vs Genoa.
The model puts the probability that both Parma and Genoa score at 44%.
Parma vs Genoa kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 13:00.
Parma vs Genoa Preview
Welcome to Extratips and our match preview for Parma vs Genoa. The game is set for 20 September 2026 at 13:00 at Stadio Ennio Tardini in Serie A. It is a meeting that looks tight on paper, with little to split the sides.
The top odds point to a close match. Home at 3.05 gives Parma a slight edge. No in BTTS at 1.75 suggests a cagey contest. Under 2.5 at 1.91 fits that same picture. The model backs the home side most in 1X2, but only by a slim margin, so draw danger is real.
Both teams should treat this as an important points battle. Parma can use home support, while Genoa will like the chance to frustrate and strike on the break. A low-scoring fight looks the most likely path, with one moment likely to decide it.
Prediction angle: Parma to edge it, both teams not to score, and under 2.5 goals. It feels like a match for patience, discipline, and one sharp finish.
Parma vs Genoa Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Parma a 40% win probability, Genoa 30%, and the draw 30%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'No' at 56%, suggesting a clean sheet is likely on at least one side.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Under 2.5 at 63%, indicating a lower-scoring affair is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 99
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Parma vs Genoa: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Won1x23.0500
Parma to win
The model gives Home a 38.8% probability, which is the top 1X2 outcome. Parma have the edge at the Tardini, and the market still sees this as a tight game with draw and away close behind. That balance fits a narrow home win more than a clear side choice.
LostBoth Teams To Score1.7500
Both teams not to score
The model gives No a 57.2% probability, so BTTS leans against both sides scoring. Parma and Genoa profile as cautious teams here, and a controlled match script fits the recent low-scoring trend and the short price on No.
LostOver/Under1.9100
Under 2.5 goals
The model gives Under 2.5 a 64.7% probability, making it the clear top pick. This lines up with a game that should stay tight, with limited space, few big chances, and a strong chance of a 1-0 or 1-1 type finish.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
Total Odds
10.19
Potential Winnings
$459.73
Parma to win
1x2 / Home
Both teams not to score
Both Teams To Score / No
Under 2.5 goals
Over/Under / Under 2.5
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*Odds available at time of writing.
Full Time Result
40%
Home
Fair odd 2.51
30%
Draw
Fair odd 3.34
30%
Away
Fair odd 3.32
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 63%
Under 37%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 37%
Under 63%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 17%
Under 83%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 44%
No 56%
First Half Winner
29%
Home
48%
Draw
23%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
22%
5%
2%
Draw
15%
23%
11%
Away
2%
5%
16%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
12.4
11.0
5.3
1.9
1
13.6
13.2
6.7
2.2
2
7.6
7.9
4.0
1.3
3
3.1
3.0
1.6
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
No head-to-head matches found
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 14:3 | 13 | DWWWW | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 15:8 | 13 | DWWWW | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 8:3 | 13 | WDWWW | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 5:2 | 12 | WWWLW | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 10:4 | 11 | WDDWW | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 9:4 | 10 | WDWWL | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 8:4 | 10 | WLDWW | |
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 9:6 | 10 | LWWWD | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7:6 | 7 | DWLLW | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9:9 | 7 | LWDWL | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 5:7 | 6 | LLLWW | |
| 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 5:10 | 6 | LWLLW | |
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 8:11 | 4 | LLLWD | |
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 5:8 | 4 | DLWLL | |
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4:7 | 4 | WLDLL | |
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 8:12 | 4 | WLDLL | |
| 17 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 6:12 | 4 | DWLLL | |
| 18 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 3:6 | 2 | DLDLL | |
| 19 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 3:10 | 1 | LDLLL | |
| 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 4:13 | 0 | LLLLL |
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