When and where is Porto vs PSV played?

Porto vs PSV kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 19:00 at Estádio Do Dragão in Porto.

Porto vs PSV: Predictions, H2H & Betting Tips

At a glance

The statistical model gives Porto a 44% probability to beat PSV, with the draw at 22% and a PSV win at 34%.

The model estimates a 60% probability of more than 2.5 goals in Porto vs PSV.

The model puts the probability that both Porto and PSV score at 59%.

Porto vs PSV kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 19:00.

Porto vs PSV: Champions League Match Preview and Predictions

Welcome to Extratips for Porto vs PSV, a key Champions League league-phase clash on Tuesday, October 20, 2026. Kick-off is scheduled for 19:00 at Estádio do Dragão in Porto. UEFA lists this as Matchday 3, with Porto needing points after a 0-2 defeat against Manchester City.

Porto sit 29th with zero points, while PSV are 25th with one point. Both sides arrive in strong domestic form. Porto have won four of their last five matches, scoring ten goals. PSV have also won four and drawn one, scoring 15 goals.

The top three model probabilities are Porto at 44.1%, Both Teams To Score — Yes at 59.4%, and Over 2.5 goals at 60.3%. No bookmaker odds were supplied. These figures suggest a close match, but they favour Porto's home edge and an open contest.

The recent form offers clear clues. Porto's strengths are their home pressure, sharp finishing, and confidence after wins over Benfica and Casa Pia. Their weaknesses are European inconsistency and a defence tested by fast attacks. PSV bring pace, attacking depth, and strong scoring momentum. However, their 1-1 draw with Shakhtar and 3-2 win at Twente show some defensive gaps.

Only one direct meeting is listed: PSV beat Porto 3-0 in a July 2016 friendly. Porto's last five home results were four wins and one loss. PSV's last five away results were four wins and one loss. The main storyline is a battle between Porto's European experience and PSV's current attacking rhythm. Another is the pressure on both clubs near the bottom of the league phase.

Potential scenarios include a tight Porto win, rated medium-high; a 2-2 draw, rated medium; or an open 3-1 Porto victory, rated medium. The final lean is Porto, with goals at both ends and more than 2.5 overall.

Porto vs PSV Predictions & Analysis

Our prediction model gives Porto a 44% win probability, PSV 34%, and the draw 22%.

Both Teams to Score Prediction

BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 59%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.

Goals Prediction

Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 60%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.

Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work

Who do you think will win?

Total votes: 103

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Porto vs PSV: frequently asked questions

Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.

Our picks

1x2

Porto to win

The model gives Porto a 44.1% probability of winning, the highest 1X2 outcome. Porto have won four of their last five matches, including a 4-1 win at Casa Pia and a 3-1 victory over Benfica. Their home advantage at Estádio do Dragão should matter, although their 0-2 loss to Manchester City shows the challenge of Champions League opposition. Porto sit 29th with 0 points, while PSV are 25th with 1 point, so both teams need a result. The available odds list is empty, so no bookmaker price is available.

Both Teams To Score

Both teams to score: Yes

The model gives Both Teams To Score — Yes a 59.4% probability. Porto have scored freely in recent domestic matches, while PSV have scored 15 goals across their last five games. PSV also conceded in their 3-2 win at Twente and drew 1-1 with Shakhtar Donetsk. The only recorded direct meeting ended PSV 3-0 Porto in July 2016, so the wider recent form points more strongly toward goals from both attacks. The available odds list is empty, so no bookmaker price is available.

Over/Under

Over 2.5 goals

The model gives Over 2.5 a 60.3% probability. Porto have scored ten goals in their last five matches, and PSV have scored 15 in the same span. Their recent results include Porto wins by 4-1 and 3-1, plus PSV victories by 4-1, 3-1, and 6-1. The recorded head-to-head meeting also finished 3-0, supporting an open game. Porto's need to recover from a 0-2 opening defeat and PSV's attacking form could create a lively contest. The available odds list is empty, so no bookmaker price is available.

Full Time Result

44%

Home

Fair odd 2.27

22%

Draw

Fair odd 4.55

34%

Away

Fair odd 2.95

Over 1.5 Goals

Over 82%

Under 18%

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 60%

Under 40%

Over 3.5 Goals

Over 37%

Under 63%

Both Teams To Score

Yes 59%

No 41%

First Half Winner

32%

Home

37%

Draw

31%

Away

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT

Home

Draw

Away

Home

24%

5%

3%

Draw

14%

12%

11%

Away

2%

4%

25%

Correct Score

Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

0

4.5

6.3

4.8

2.7

1

7.4

10.4

7.7

3.6

2

6.4

9.0

5.6

2.9

3

4.4

4.7

3.4

1.4

4

5

6

7

No odds available for this market

No head-to-head matches found

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3	Aston Villa	2	2	0	0	+7	9:2	6	WW
4	VfB Stuttgart	2	2	0	0	+5	6:1	6	WW
5	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+4	8:4	6	WW
6	Sporting CP	2	2	0	0	+4	5:1	6	WW
7	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+4	4:0	6	WW
8	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+2	6:4	6	WW
9	Real Betis	2	2	0	0	+2	6:4	6	WW
10	FC Bayern München	2	1	1	0	+5	8:3	4	DW
11	Shakhtar Donetsk	2	1	1	0	+2	4:2	4	WD
12	Como	2	1	0	1	+2	6:4	3	LW
13	Manchester United	2	1	0	1	+2	4:2	3	LW
14	Villarreal	2	1	0	1	+1	5:4	3	WL
15	Atlético de Madrid	2	1	0	1	+1	3:2	3	WL
16	Club Brugge	2	1	0	1	0	6:6	3	WL
17	Manchester City	2	1	0	1	0	4:4	3	LW
18	Borussia Dortmund	2	1	0	1	0	3:3	3	LW
19	Lens	2	1	0	1	-1	3:4	3	LW
20	AEK Athens	2	1	0	1	-1	2:3	3	LW
21	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	-2	2:4	3	WL
22	Sabah	2	1	0	1	-2	2:4	3	WL
23	Feyenoord	2	1	0	1	-3	4:7	3	WL
24	Bodø / Glimt	2	1	0	1	-4	1:5	3	WL
25	Roma	2	0	1	1	-1	4:5	1	LD
26	PSV	2	0	1	1	-1	1:2	1	LD
27	Viking	2	0	1	1	-2	4:6	1	DL
28	Fenerbahçe	2	0	1	1	-6	1:7	1	LD
29	Inter	2	0	0	2	-2	4:6	0	LL
30	Porto	2	0	0	2	-3	2:5	0	LL
31	Slavia Praha	2	0	0	2	-3	2:5	0	LL
32	Napoli	2	0	0	2	-3	1:4	0	LL
33	LASK	2	0	0	2	-4	3:7	0	LL
34	LOSC Lille	2	0	0	2	-4	2:6	0	LL
35	Galatasaray	2	0	0	2	-5	2:7	0	LL
36	Slovan Bratislava	2	0	0	2	-8	1:9	0	LL