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At a glance
The statistical model gives Toluca a 54% probability to win away against Puebla, with the draw at 24% and a Puebla win at 21%.
The model estimates a 50% probability of fewer than 2.5 goals in Puebla vs Toluca.
The model puts the probability that both Puebla and Toluca score at 51%.
Puebla vs Toluca kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 01:00.
Puebla vs Toluca Match Preview
Puebla vs Toluca live streaming starts on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 01:00 at Estadio Cuauhtémoc in Liga MX, Mexico. Extratips.com provides livescore, H2H information for Puebla vs Toluca as well as in-depth stats about each team like lineups, standings, predictions and professional betting tips.
Puebla vs Toluca Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Puebla a 21% win probability, Toluca 54%, and the draw 24%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 51%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Under 2.5 at 50%, indicating a lower-scoring affair is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 83
TV Channels
Puebla vs Toluca: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Full Time Result
21%
Home
Fair odd 4.74
24%
Draw
Fair odd 4.08
54%
Away
Fair odd 1.84
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 74%
Under 26%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 50%
Under 50%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 28%
Under 72%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 51%
No 49%
First Half Winner
18%
Home
44%
Draw
39%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
9%
4%
4%
Draw
7%
15%
21%
Away
1%
4%
34%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
7.6
11.4
9.8
5.7
1
6.9
11.1
9.6
5.3
2
3.3
5.2
4.8
3.0
3
0.9
1.8
1.4
0.8
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
No head-to-head matches found
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 12:2 | 16 | WWWWD | |
| 2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 12:6 | 14 | WDWWD | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 12:4 | 13 | WWDWL | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10:7 | 13 | WLWDW | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10:9 | 13 | DLWWL | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 12:11 | 12 | WWLLL | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 9:7 | 10 | WLDWW | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 8:6 | 10 | DWWWL | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9:9 | 10 | LWWDL | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +3 | 13:10 | 9 | LLWWL | |
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 10:8 | 8 | WDDLL | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:8 | 8 | LDDWW | |
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 9:12 | 8 | DLDLL | |
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 7:9 | 7 | DDLDW | |
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9:11 | 6 | DDWLL | |
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 8:13 | 6 | LWDLD | |
| 17 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 4:12 | 1 | LDLLL | |
| 18 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -18 | 3:21 | 0 | LLLLL |
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