When and where is Rayo Vallecano vs Celta de Vigo played?

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta de Vigo kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 15:15 at Estadio de Vallecas in Madrid.

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta de Vigo: Predictions, H2H & Betting Tips

At a glance

The statistical model gives Celta de Vigo a 35% probability to win away against Rayo Vallecano, with the draw at 31% and a Rayo Vallecano win at 34%.

The model estimates a 62% probability of fewer than 2.5 goals in Rayo Vallecano vs Celta de Vigo.

The model puts the probability that both Rayo Vallecano and Celta de Vigo score at 46%.

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta de Vigo kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 15:15.

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta de Vigo Prediction

Welcome to Extratips for the La Liga clash at Estadio de Vallecas on 31 October 2026. Rayo Vallecano welcome Celta de Vigo in a matchup that looks tight, tense, and short on goals.

The available table snapshot puts Rayo around 17th with nine points, while Celta sit near ninth with eleven. Those positions give Rayo extra pressure at home, while Celta can play with greater calm. Celta won the latest meeting 3-0, and the previous league clash ended 1-1. Across the wider rivalry, draws have been common.

Match Outlook

Rayo's home edge is the main difference. Their energy, pressing, and direct attacks can unsettle Celta early. Yet injuries may shape the contest. Borja Iglesias is reported out with a calf tear, while Rayo also have defensive concerns and a suspension in midfield.

The top prices point in the same direction: Home at 2.24, Under 2.5 at 1.78, and Both Teams To Score—No at 1.95. The model gives Home 38.0%, No 57.0%, and Under 2.5 65.6%.

A cagey first half is the likeliest script. Rayo may control territory, but Celta's compact shape could keep chances scarce. The best angles are a narrow home win, a draw cover, and a low total. Expect a hard-fought Vallecas battle where one mistake could decide the points.

Conclusion: Rayo have the slight edge, but the clearest theme is a low-scoring match.

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta de Vigo Predictions & Analysis

Our prediction model gives Rayo Vallecano a 34% win probability, Celta de Vigo 35%, and the draw 31%.

Both Teams to Score Prediction

BTTS leans toward 'No' at 54%, suggesting a clean sheet is likely on at least one side.

Goals Prediction

Goal expectations lean toward Under 2.5 at 62%, indicating a lower-scoring affair is expected.

Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work

Who do you think will win?

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Rayo Vallecano vs Celta de Vigo: frequently asked questions

Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.

Our picks

1x22.24

Rayo Vallecano to win

The model gives Home a 38.0% probability, the highest 1X2 outcome. Rayo have home advantage at Vallecas, while the available table data places both sides near the lower half. Celta won the latest meeting 3-0, but the longer head-to-head record is balanced, with many draws. The 2.24 home price also makes Rayo the clear market favorite.

Both Teams To Score1.95

Both teams not to score

The model gives No a 57.0% probability. The model also rates Under 2.5 at 65.6%, pointing toward a tight game with limited clear chances. Celta may miss Borja Iglesias through a calf tear, while Rayo have several defensive absences and a recent disciplinary suspension. The 1.95 price supports a low-scoring, one-sided or goalless outcome.

Over/Under1.78

Under 2.5 goals

The model gives Under 2.5 a 65.6% probability, its strongest listed signal. The odds market also favors this line at 1.78. Recent head-to-head information includes a 1-1 draw and Celta's 3-0 win, but the overall matchup has produced frequent draws, while Celta's attack could be weakened by Iglesias' absence. A 1-0 or 1-1 game fits the statistical profile.

Our picks

Accumulator odds

Stake

Total Odds

7.78

Potential Winnings

$338.75

Rayo Vallecano to win

1x2 / Home

2.24

Both teams not to score

Both Teams To Score / No

1.95

Under 2.5 goals

Over/Under / Under 2.5

1.78

Bet on

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*Odds available at time of writing.

Full Time Result

34%

Home

Fair odd 2.92

31%

Draw

Fair odd 3.26

35%

Away

Fair odd 2.86

Over 1.5 Goals

Over 64%

Under 36%

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 38%

Under 62%

Over 3.5 Goals

Over 20%

Under 80%

Both Teams To Score

Yes 46%

No 54%

First Half Winner

28%

Home

47%

Draw

25%

Away

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT

Home

Draw

Away

Home

20%

5%

3%

Draw

13%

19%

14%

Away

2%

6%

18%

Correct Score

Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

0

12.3

12.1

6.5

2.3

1

11.7

13.1

7.1

2.7

2

5.9

7.1

4.4

1.6

3

2.4

2.7

1.8

0.8

4

5

6

7

bet365

EU

1

2.40+6.67%

41.67%win

X

3.25+1.56%

30.77%win

2

3.00-3.23%

33.33%win

1xbet

EU

1

2.44+8.93%

40.98%win

X

3.43-2.28%

29.15%win

2

3.18-9.40%

31.45%win

Betfair

EU

1

2.45+8.89%

40.82%win

X

3.25-1.52%

30.77%win

2

3.10+3.33%

32.26%win

BetVictor

EU

1

2.38+8.18%

42.02%win

X

3.30+1.54%

30.3%win

2

3.000.00%

33.33%win

bwin

EU

1

2.35+4.44%

42.55%win

X

3.30-2.94%

30.3%win

2

3.00-3.23%

33.33%win

Coral

EU

1

2.30+2.22%

43.48%win

X

3.30-2.94%

30.3%win

2

3.00-3.23%

33.33%win

Dafabet

EU

1

2.45+6.99%

40.82%win

X

3.30-1.49%

30.3%win

2

3.05-3.17%

32.79%win

Ladbrokes

EU

1

2.30+2.22%

43.48%win

X

3.30-2.94%

30.3%win

2

3.00-3.23%

33.33%win

Macauslot

EU

1

2.200.00%

45.45%win

X

3.330.00%

30.03%win

2

2.80-0.36%

35.71%win

MansionBet

EU

1

2.36+10.80%

42.37%win

X

3.20-3.03%

31.25%win

2

2.91-6.13%

34.36%win

Marathonbet

EU

1

2.38+9.17%

42.02%win

X

3.34-2.34%

29.94%win

2

3.10-9.36%

32.26%win

MelBet

EU

1

2.35+8.80%

42.52%win

X

3.30-2.37%

30.3%win

2

3.07-9.17%

32.57%win

Pinnacle

EU

1

2.45+11.87%

40.82%win

X

3.32-0.30%

30.12%win

2

3.09-9.12%

32.36%win

Sbo

EU

1

2.36+10.28%

42.37%win

Stopped

X

2.96-7.21%

33.78%win

Stopped

2

2.70-13.46%

37.04%win

Stopped

WilliamHill

EU

1

2.30+2.22%

43.48%win

X

3.20-3.03%

31.25%win

2

3.00-3.23%

33.33%win

Bookmaker	1	X	2
bet365	2.40 41.67%win	3.25 30.77%win	3.00 33.33%win
1xbet	2.44 40.98%win	3.43 29.15%win	3.18 31.45%win
Betfair	2.45 40.82%win	3.25 30.77%win	3.10 32.26%win
BetVictor	2.38 42.02%win	3.30 30.3%win	3.00 33.33%win
bwin	2.35 42.55%win	3.30 30.3%win	3.00 33.33%win
Coral	2.30 43.48%win	3.30 30.3%win	3.00 33.33%win
Dafabet	2.45 40.82%win	3.30 30.3%win	3.05 32.79%win
Ladbrokes	2.30 43.48%win	3.30 30.3%win	3.00 33.33%win
Macauslot	2.20 45.45%win	3.33 30.03%win	2.80 35.71%win
MansionBet	2.36 42.37%win	3.20 31.25%win	2.91 34.36%win
Marathonbet	2.38 42.02%win	3.34 29.94%win	3.10 32.26%win
MelBet	2.35 42.52%win	3.30 30.3%win	3.07 32.57%win
Pinnacle	2.45 40.82%win	3.32 30.12%win	3.09 32.36%win
Sbo	2.36 42.37%win	2.96 33.78%win	2.70 37.04%win
WilliamHill	2.30 43.48%win	3.20 31.25%win	3.00 33.33%win

No head-to-head matches found

#	Team	P	W	D	L	DIFF	GLS	Pts	Last 5
1	FC Barcelona	10	9	0	1	+29	40:11	27	LWWWW
2	Atlético de Madrid	10	8	1	1	+12	20:8	25	WWWWW
3	Real Madrid	10	8	0	2	+15	25:10	24	WWWLW
4	Real Betis	10	6	2	2	+2	16:14	20	DLWDW
5	Real Sociedad	10	6	1	3	+1	19:18	19	WWWWL
6	Sevilla	10	5	2	3	0	16:16	17	WLDLW
7	Deportivo Alavés	10	3	3	4	+3	14:11	12	DLLDL
8	Celta de Vigo	10	2	6	2	+3	10:7	12	DWDWD
9	Athletic Club	9	3	3	3	+3	12:9	12	WLDDD
10	Villarreal	10	3	3	4	+1	15:14	12	WDLWW
11	Deportivo A Coruña	10	2	5	3	0	13:13	11	LDLDL
12	Osasuna	10	3	2	5	-10	10:20	11	LWLDL
13	Racing Santander	10	3	2	5	-11	15:26	11	WLDLL
14	Levante	10	2	4	4	-3	16:19	10	LWDDL
15	Elche	10	2	4	4	-3	14:17	10	WDDWL
16	Rayo Vallecano	9	2	3	4	-8	12:20	9	LDDWL
17	Getafe	10	2	3	5	-10	5:15	9	LDLWL
18	Espanyol	10	2	2	6	-2	12:14	8	LLDLL
19	Valencia	10	1	3	6	-10	7:17	6	LDDLW
20	Málaga	10	0	5	5	-12	7:19	5	DLDLL