At a glance
The statistical model gives SC Freiburg a 44% probability to beat Schalke 04, with the draw at 25% and a Schalke 04 win at 31%.
The model estimates a 59% probability of more than 2.5 goals in SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04.
The model puts the probability that both SC Freiburg and Schalke 04 score at 59%.
SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04 kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:30.
Freiburg vs Schalke prediction: Bundesliga match preview
Welcome to Extratips for the Bundesliga clash at Europa-Park Stadion on October 11, 2026, at 15:30. Freiburg arrive third with 10 points from four games, while Schalke sit 11th on five points. Freiburg have scored 12 and conceded only three, giving them the early edge.
The main prices tell the story: Freiburg 1.63, Over 2.5 goals 1.57, and Both teams to score — Yes 1.61. They point to a home win in an energetic game. Freiburg’s recent league run includes a 5-0 win over Gladbach, a 1-0 success at Paderborn, and a 2-2 draw at Frankfurt. Schalke’s listed recent results include a 3-1 win at Union Berlin, a goalless draw with Bayern, and a 0-3 defeat at Augsburg.
The head-to-head record and full last-five venue splits are not available in the supplied information, so those trends cannot be stated reliably. Freiburg’s strengths are their fast start, goal threat, and defensive balance. Schalke’s best route is to stay compact, frustrate the hosts, and counter quickly. Watch the opening goal: Freiburg are likely to press hard, while Schalke may grow into the match. A 2-1 home win is the most natural script, with 3-1 also possible if Freiburg exploit the spaces late.
SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04 Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives SC Freiburg a 44% win probability, Schalke 04 31%, and the draw 25%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 59%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 59%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
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SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Freiburg to win.
The model gives Home a 44.0% probability. Freiburg sit third with 10 points from four matches, while Schalke are 11th with five points. Freiburg have started strongly, scoring 12 goals and conceding three, and home form has been positive. The 1.63 odds also make Freiburg clear favourites, though Schalke’s compact approach could keep the game close.
Both teams to score: Yes.
The model gives Yes a 59.4% probability. Freiburg’s attack has scored 12 times in four league games, while Schalke have shown they can contribute away from home despite scoring only three overall. The 1.61 odds support an open contest, and a Freiburg win with a Schalke reply fits the recent attacking trend.
Over 2.5 goals.
The model gives Over 2.5 a 59.1% probability. Freiburg’s 12 goals in four matches point to strong attacking momentum, and their recent results include wins by 5-0, 4-1 and 3-1. Schalke may need to attack after falling behind, creating space for further chances. The available 1.57 odds reflect the market’s expectation of at least three goals.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
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*Odds available at time of writing.








