At a glance
The statistical model gives Sevilla a 47% probability to beat Osasuna, with the draw at 26% and a Osasuna win at 27%.
The model estimates a 52% probability of more than 2.5 goals in Sevilla vs Osasuna.
The model puts the probability that both Sevilla and Osasuna score at 55%.
Sevilla vs Osasuna kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 20:00.
Sevilla vs Osasuna Prediction: La Liga Preview and Betting Tips
Welcome to Extratips for the Monday night meeting between Sevilla and Osasuna. The match starts at 20:00 on 26 October 2026 at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán.
Sevilla occupy sixth place with 14 points from nine matches. Osasuna are tenth on 11 points, so both sides have plenty to play for. Sevilla lead the recent head-to-head story, winning the last two meetings, but the wider record is balanced at five wins each and five draws in the listed La Liga data.
The best headline prices are Sevilla at 1.9500, Both Teams To Score — Yes at 1.9500, and Over 2.5 goals at 2.0500. Those odds suggest home control, but not a one-sided contest. Sevilla's home edge meets an Osasuna side that has shown attacking threat, yet both teams have conceded freely this season.
Recent results add spice. Osasuna beat Racing Santander 2-0 but lost 2-5 at Real Betis. Their away defending remains the main concern. Sevilla's defensive record also leaves room for an Osasuna goal. Injuries could matter too, with Osasuna reporting several absences and doubts, including Barja, Moro and Rosier.
The likely script is Sevilla pressing early, with Osasuna looking for breaks and set pieces. A 2-1 home win fits the numbers, although a 1-1 draw remains a live danger. The model selects Home, Yes, and Over 2.5 as the three leading outcomes. Sevilla have the stronger table position and recent rivalry form, while Osasuna's best route is to turn the match into an open, scrappy battle.
Sevilla vs Osasuna Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Sevilla a 47% win probability, Osasuna 27%, and the draw 26%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 55%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 52%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
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Sevilla vs Osasuna: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Sevilla to win
The model gives Sevilla a 47.0% probability of winning, making Home the top 1X2 outcome. Sevilla sit sixth with 14 points, while Osasuna are tenth with 11 points. Sevilla have won the last two meetings, including a 2-1 victory in April 2026 and a 1-0 home win in November 2025. The 1.9500 home price also reflects a clear market preference for Sevilla at Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán.
Both teams to score: Yes
The model gives Both Teams To Score — Yes a 55.6% probability, the strongest outcome in this market. Recent meetings include a 2-1 Sevilla win and a 1-1 draw, showing that Osasuna can contribute away from home. Sevilla have conceded 16 goals in nine league matches, while Osasuna have conceded 18, which supports chances at both ends. The listed Yes price is 1.9500.
Over 2.5 goals
The model gives Over 2.5 a 52.1% probability, narrowly making it the preferred totals outcome. Both teams have shown defensive gaps, with Sevilla allowing 16 goals and Osasuna 18 after nine matches. Osasuna's recent results include a 3-3 draw with Levante and a 2-5 defeat by Real Betis, while Sevilla's latest listed results also include high-scoring games. The available 2.0500 Over 2.5 price points to a competitive game with a realistic three-goal path.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
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*Odds available at time of writing.








