EU
At a glance
The statistical model gives Sporting CP a 55% probability to beat LASK, with the draw at 22% and a LASK win at 23%.
The model estimates a 58% probability of more than 2.5 goals in Sporting CP vs LASK.
The model puts the probability that both Sporting CP and LASK score at 56%.
Sporting CP vs LASK kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 19:00.
Sporting CP vs LASK Prediction: Champions League Preview
Welcome to Extratips for Sporting CP vs LASK, a Matchday 3 clash at Estádio José Alvalade in Lisbon on 21 October 2026. Kick-off is set for 19:00. Sporting have started strongly, winning 2-0 at Lens and 3-1 against Galatasaray. They lead their group position with six points and a plus-four goal difference, while LASK have no points and a minus-four record after losses to AEK Athens and Celtic.
The market makes Sporting clear favourites at 1.3000. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.3600, while Both Teams To Score is 1.8000. Those numbers point toward a home win in an open match. Sporting offer more control and attacking depth, with Luis Javier Suárez already scoring twice in Europe. LASK's best route is quick transitions, building on their 5-1 extra-time win over Celtic.
The teams have limited recent history, with LASK reportedly winning the previous two meetings. That adds a twist, but Sporting's current European form and home setting carry more weight. Expect the hosts to press early, stretch LASK wide, and create chances. The likeliest script is Sporting winning 2-1 or 3-1, with LASK dangerous enough to find one goal. Conclusion: Sporting should take the points, while goals look likely.
Sporting CP vs LASK Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Sporting CP a 55% win probability, LASK 23%, and the draw 22%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 56%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 58%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 69
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Sporting CP vs LASK: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
1x21.3000
Sporting CP to win.
The model gives Sporting CP a 57.1% probability of winning, making Home the top 1X2 outcome. Sporting have won both league-phase matches, sit on six points with a plus-four goal difference, and beat Galatasaray 3-1 before winning 2-0 at Lens. LASK have lost their two listed group matches and carry a minus-four goal difference. The 1.3000 home price also reflects Sporting's strong advantage at José Alvalade, although recent H2H notes show LASK have won the previous two meetings.
Both Teams To Score1.8000
Both teams to score: Yes.
The model gives Both Teams To Score a 55.0% probability, so Yes is the leading outcome. Sporting's recent European wins produced five goals, while LASK showed attacking threat in their 5-1 extra-time win over Celtic despite defeats to AEK Athens and Celtic. The available Yes price is 1.8000, and LASK's counter-attacking threat gives them a route to score even if Sporting control the match.
Over/Under1.3600
Over 2.5 goals.
The model gives Over 2.5 a 57.3% probability, making it the preferred total-goals outcome. Sporting's two group games produced 2-0 and 3-1 wins, while LASK's recent European results included a 5-1 victory and a 3-0 defeat. The listed Over 2.5 price is 1.3600, and a Sporting win with both sides scoring would comfortably support three or more goals.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
Total Odds
3.18
Potential Winnings
$109.12
Sporting CP to win.
1x2 / Home
Both teams to score: Yes.
Both Teams To Score / Yes
Over 2.5 goals.
Over/Under / Over 2.5
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*Odds available at time of writing.
Full Time Result
55%
Home
Fair odd 1.81
22%
Draw
Fair odd 4.51
23%
Away
Fair odd 4.44
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 80%
Under 20%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 58%
Under 42%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 35%
Under 65%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 56%
No 44%
First Half Winner
42%
Home
35%
Draw
22%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
37%
4%
2%
Draw
18%
11%
8%
Away
4%
4%
12%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
5.5
5.4
3.1
1.2
1
9.5
10.1
6.0
2.0
2
8.9
10.0
5.2
1.9
3
5.7
5.7
3.8
1.3
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
No head-to-head matches found
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 10:3 | 6 | WW | |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 9:2 | 6 | WW | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 9:2 | 6 | WW | |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6:1 | 6 | WW | |
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 8:4 | 6 | WW | |
| 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 5:1 | 6 | WW | |
| 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 4:0 | 6 | WW | |
| 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6:4 | 6 | WW | |
| 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6:4 | 6 | WW | |
| 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 8:3 | 4 | DW | |
| 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4:2 | 4 | WD | |
| 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6:4 | 3 | LW | |
| 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4:2 | 3 | LW | |
| 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5:4 | 3 | WL | |
| 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3:2 | 3 | WL | |
| 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6:6 | 3 | WL | |
| 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4:4 | 3 | LW | |
| 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 | LW | |
| 19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3:4 | 3 | LW | |
| 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2:3 | 3 | LW | |
| 21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 2:4 | 3 | WL | |
| 22 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 2:4 | 3 | WL | |
| 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 4:7 | 3 | WL | |
| 24 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 1:5 | 3 | WL | |
| 25 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4:5 | 1 | LD | |
| 26 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1:2 | 1 | LD | |
| 27 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4:6 | 1 | DL | |
| 28 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -6 | 1:7 | 1 | LD | |
| 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 4:6 | 0 | LL | |
| 30 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 2:5 | 0 | LL | |
| 31 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 2:5 | 0 | LL | |
| 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 1:4 | 0 | LL | |
| 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3:7 | 0 | LL | |
| 34 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 2:6 | 0 | LL | |
| 35 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 2:7 | 0 | LL | |
| 36 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -8 | 1:9 | 0 | LL |
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