FSV Mainz 05 to win
Mainz show 40.32% implied probability at 2.48 odds, with strong away form in last 5 (3 wins). They edge head-to-head and have more motivation for Europe spots. Solid value bet.
Welcome to Extratips, your go-to spot for sharp football predictions! Get ready for St. Pauli hosting FSV Mainz 05 on May 3, 2026, at 13:30 in the Bundesliga 2025/2026 season. The Millerntor will buzz with energy.
St. Pauli sit mid-table, fighting for stability. Mainz push for Europe, full of drive. Bookies see Mainz slight favorites at 2.48 odds for away win (40.32% chance). St. Pauli home at 2.76 (36.23%), draw 3.20 (31.25%). Both teams to score Yes at 1.90 looks juicy (52.38%). Over 2.25 goals edges it at 1.92.
Head-to-head: Last 5: Mainz 2-1, draw 1-1, St. Pauli 1-0, Mainz 3-1, draw 2-2. Mainz edge it, but draws common.
St. Pauli home form (last 5): 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss. Solid at home.
Mainz away (last 5): 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss. Strong travelers.
St. Pauli strengths: Gritty defense, crowd boost. Weaknesses: Slow starts, leaky on counters. Example: Conceded early last game.
Mainz strengths: Quick attacks, set-pieces. Weaknesses: Defensive slips. Example: 2-2 draw after leading.
Key factors: No big injuries reported. St. Pauli tweak tactics for press. Mainz eye counter-attacks.
Unique angles: 1. St. Pauli's punk-rock fans vs Mainz pros – atmosphere magic? 2. Mid-season survival vs ambition duel. 3. Goal fest brewing from open styles.
Teams similar in scoring punch, differ in away grit (Mainz) vs home heart (St. Pauli).
Scenarios: 1. Mainz grind 1-2 win (high chance). 2. Fiery draw 1-1 (medium). 3. St. Pauli upset 2-1 (low).
Buckle up – this could be tight and thrilling!
Total votes: 109
Mainz show 40.32% implied probability at 2.48 odds, with strong away form in last 5 (3 wins). They edge head-to-head and have more motivation for Europe spots. Solid value bet.
BTTS Yes at 1.90 odds (52.38% chance) fits patterns: 3 of last 5 H2H had goals both ways. Both teams score freely, St. Pauli home games often open.
Over 2.5 at 2.10 odds offers value (47.62% implied, but matches trend higher). H2H and recent forms point to 3+ goals, pairs with BTTS and Mainz attack for likely 1-2 or 2-2 scoreline.
Our picks
*Odds available at time of writing.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | +86 | 122:36 | 89 | WWDWW | |
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | +36 | 70:34 | 73 | WWLWL | |
| 3 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | +19 | 66:47 | 65 | LWLWW | |
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | +22 | 71:49 | 62 | DWDDL | |
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +13 | 65:52 | 61 | LWDWW | |
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +21 | 68:47 | 59 | DLWWL | |
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | -6 | 51:57 | 47 | WLDLW | |
| 8 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -4 | 61:65 | 44 | DLLDL | |
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -16 | 45:61 | 43 | LWWDW | |
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -9 | 44:53 | 40 | WLWLD | |
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -14 | 44:58 | 39 | WWDLL | |
| 12 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -11 | 42:53 | 38 | WLWDD | |
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -14 | 40:54 | 38 | DWWLL | |
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -14 | 49:63 | 32 | LLDLD | |
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -23 | 37:60 | 32 | LLLDW | |
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | -24 | 45:69 | 29 | WLDDW | |
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -31 | 41:72 | 26 | LWDWL | |
| 18 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -31 | 29:60 | 26 | LLLLD |