EU
At a glance
The statistical model gives Dinamo Zagreb a 46% probability to win away against Sunderland, with the draw at 22% and a Sunderland win at 32%.
The model estimates a 55% probability of more than 2.5 goals in Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb.
The model puts the probability that both Sunderland and Dinamo Zagreb score at 49%.
Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb kicks off on Thursday 05 November 2026 at 20:00.
Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb Prediction: Europa League Preview
Welcome to Extratips for the Stadium of Light clash on Thursday, 5 November 2026, kicking off at 20:00. Sunderland have made the brighter league-phase start, ranking ninth with seven points from three games. Dinamo Zagreb sit 18th on four points after one win, one draw and one defeat. That gap gives both sides a clear reason to push for a result.
The headline prices favour Sunderland heavily, with home odds as short as 1.4100, while the draw is available at 4.1500 and Dinamo at 5.7000. Yet our model offers a different view, giving the visitors a 46.4% win chance. It also rates Over 2.5 at 55.1%, while Both Teams To Score: No leads narrowly at 51.2%.
There are no verified recent head-to-head results or complete five-match home and away records available here, so those trends should not be overstated. Dinamo's European record shows three goals scored and four conceded. Sunderland's unbeaten start suggests confidence, but Dinamo's need for points could make this a tense, tactical contest.
The key story is clear: Sunderland have home support and momentum, while Dinamo carry the sharper model rating. Expect quick transitions, a lively second half and a match decided by small moments. A 1-2 away win is the standout scenario, with 0-3 a lower-probability alternative. A Sunderland victory remains possible, but the model points toward Dinamo and a game reaching at least three goals.
Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Sunderland a 32% win probability, Dinamo Zagreb 46%, and the draw 22%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'No' at 51%, suggesting a clean sheet is likely on at least one side.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 55%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 94
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Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
1x26.7500
Dinamo Zagreb to win.
The model gives Dinamo Zagreb a 46.4% chance of winning, the highest 1X2 outcome. Dinamo sit 18th in the Europa League with four points, while Sunderland are ninth with seven. Dinamo's listed away odds of 6.7500 suggest a difficult task, but the model sees greater counter-attacking value and a possible edge in a tight match. No verified previous meetings or complete recent-match records are available.
Both Teams To Score1.9500
Both teams not to score.
The model gives No a 51.2% probability, narrowly ahead of Yes at 48.8%. Dinamo have scored three and conceded four in three Europa League matches, while Sunderland have a stronger seven-point start but may approach this home game carefully. The available odds are 1.9500 for No and 1.8000 for Yes, showing a close market. A controlled away setup and limited clear chances support the No selection.
Over/Under1.5800
Over 2.5 total goals.
The model gives Over 2.5 a 55.1% probability. The market also leans this way, with Over 2.5 priced at 1.5800, compared with 2.2500 for Under 2.5. Sunderland's strong league-phase start and Dinamo's need to improve from 18th could produce an open second half. The most logical score patterns are 1-2 or 0-3, though the no-BTTS angle means three goals may come from one dominant attack.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
Total Odds
20.80
Potential Winnings
$989.84
Dinamo Zagreb to win.
1x2 / Away
Both teams not to score.
Both Teams To Score / No
Over 2.5 total goals.
Over/Under / Over 2.5
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*Odds available at time of writing.
Full Time Result
32%
Home
Fair odd 3.13
22%
Draw
Fair odd 4.60
46%
Away
Fair odd 2.16
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 78%
Under 22%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 55%
Under 45%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 34%
Under 66%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 49%
No 51%
First Half Winner
16%
Home
38%
Draw
47%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
9%
4%
3%
Draw
7%
12%
18%
Away
1%
5%
40%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
6.2
8.3
7.5
4.5
1
7.9
9.5
7.5
4.5
2
5.5
6.2
4.4
2.4
3
2.8
3.2
2.1
1.2
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
No head-to-head matches found
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 10:2 | 9 | WWW | |
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 8:0 | 9 | WWW | |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 8:1 | 9 | WWW | |
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 9:3 | 9 | WWW | |
| 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 4:1 | 9 | WWW | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 8:1 | 7 | WDW | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 9:3 | 7 | DWW | |
| 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 9:5 | 7 | DWW | |
| 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4:2 | 7 | DWW | |
| 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6:2 | 6 | WWL | |
| 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5:4 | 6 | LWW | |
| 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 5:6 | 6 | LWW | |
| 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 4:3 | 5 | DWD | |
| 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 8:3 | 4 | WDL | |
| 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 8:5 | 4 | DLW | |
| 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5:3 | 4 | LDW | |
| 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 4 | WDL | |
| 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3:4 | 4 | LWD | |
| 19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1:3 | 4 | WLD | |
| 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 5:8 | 4 | WDL | |
| 21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 3:6 | 4 | DLW | |
| 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4:3 | 3 | WLL | |
| 23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5:5 | 3 | WLL | |
| 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 4:5 | 3 | LWL | |
| 25 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3:4 | 3 | WLL | |
| 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3:4 | 3 | LLW | |
| 27 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 4:6 | 3 | LWL | |
| 28 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 4:7 | 3 | LLW | |
| 29 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 2:7 | 1 | DLL | |
| 30 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1:6 | 1 | LLD | |
| 31 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 2:9 | 1 | LDL | |
| 32 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 1:9 | 1 | DLL | |
| 33 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 2:7 | 0 | LLL | |
| 34 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 1:6 | 0 | LLL | |
| 35 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 3:9 | 0 | LLL | |
| 36 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 2:11 | 0 | LLL |
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