At a glance
The statistical model gives Torino a 42% probability to beat Monza, with the draw at 25% and a Monza win at 32%.
The model estimates a 54% probability of more than 2.5 goals in Torino vs Monza.
The model puts the probability that both Torino and Monza score at 57%.
Torino vs Monza kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 18:45.
Torino vs Monza Prediction: Serie A Preview and Betting Tips
Welcome to Extratips for a Friday night battle at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino. Torino host Monza on October 23, 2026, with the match scheduled for 18:45 in Serie A.
Torino currently sit 12th with seven points from six games. Monza are 16th on four points, so both teams need a result to create breathing room. Torino have scored seven and conceded nine, while Monza have found the net nine times but allowed 15.
The last five meetings brought two Torino wins, two draws, and one Monza victory. Results were 1-1, 1-0 Torino, 1-1, 2-0 Torino, and 1-0 Monza, listed chronologically. The pattern suggests tight games, though both teams have attacking promise.
Torino’s home edge is the key story. Monza’s away defending remains a concern, especially after four defeats in six league matches. Matteo Pessina’s knee recovery could also affect Monza’s midfield options, while recent disciplinary issues add another layer.
The main angles are Torino’s stronger league position, Monza’s ability to score despite defensive problems, and a clash between home control and counter-attacking threat. A 2-1 Torino win looks the most likely script. A cautious 1-1 draw is also possible, while a 1-0 home victory remains a lower-scoring alternative.
The model points to Home at 42.3%, Both Teams To Score — Yes at 57.1%, and Over 2.5 goals at 54.0%. Torino’s win, goals at both ends, and a match beyond two goals form the final prediction set.
Torino vs Monza Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Torino a 42% win probability, Monza 32%, and the draw 25%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 57%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 54%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 53
TV Channels
Torino vs Monza: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Torino to win
The model gives Torino a 42.3% probability of winning, the highest 1X2 outcome. Torino sit 12th with seven points, while Monza are 16th with four. Torino have also won two of the last five meetings, including a 2-0 away victory in March 2025. The home price of 2.0500 supports Torino as the match lean, although Monza won the latest cup meeting 1-0.
Both teams to score: Yes
The model gives Both Teams To Score — Yes a 57.1% probability. Recent meetings include three games where both sides scored, while Torino have conceded nine goals in six league matches and Monza have scored nine. The 1.8000 price reflects a stronger market expectation for goals at both ends.
Over 2.5 goals
The model gives Over 2.5 a 54.0% probability. Both teams have shown defensive gaps, with Torino recording a minus-two goal difference and Monza minus-six after six matches. Monza's league games have produced 24 total goals, and the 2.0000 odds offer a clear attacking angle despite several recent low-scoring head-to-heads.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
#ad
*Odds available at time of writing.






