EU
At a glance
The statistical model gives Ararat-Armenia a 42% probability to win away against Torreense, with the draw at 23% and a Torreense win at 35%.
The model estimates a 56% probability of more than 2.5 goals in Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia.
The model puts the probability that both Torreense and Ararat-Armenia score at 54%.
Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia kicks off on Thursday 05 November 2026 at 20:00.
Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia Prediction
Welcome to Extratips for the Europa League clash between Torreense and Ararat-Armenia. The match starts at 20:00 on 5 November 2026 at the neutral Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa in Leiria. Torreense are 28th with three points, while Ararat-Armenia are 36th with none.
Torreense began with a 2-1 win at Lillestrøm but then lost 1-2 to Sunderland and 1-4 at Ferencváros. Ararat-Armenia have suffered three straight defeats: 1-4 against Sparta Prague, 1-3 at Jagiellonia and 0-4 against AZ Alkmaar. There are no recorded previous meetings, so head-to-head trends offer no useful guide. Recent European form instead points to goals, with both teams conceding regularly.
The top prices are Torreense at 1.7300, the draw at 3.9000 and Ararat-Armenia at 4.5600. The market favours Torreense, but our model gives the visitors the highest win probability at 40.6%. It also rates Both Teams To Score at 53.5% and Over 2.5 goals at 53.8%.
The key storyline is pressure at the bottom of the league phase. Torreense have home status but lose much of that edge at a neutral ground, while Ararat-Armenia must attack after a dreadful start. Their recent scorelines suggest another lively contest. The likeliest scenarios are a 2-1 Ararat-Armenia win, a 2-2 draw, or a narrow Torreense success. The first is rated medium likelihood, with goals expected either way.
Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Torreense a 35% win probability, Ararat-Armenia 42%, and the draw 23%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 54%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 56%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 107
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Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
1x24.5600
Ararat-Armenia to win
The model gives Ararat-Armenia a 40.6% chance of victory, the highest 1X2 probability. Torreense sit 28th with three points, while Ararat-Armenia are 36th with none. However, Torreense have lost their last two league-phase games, including a 4-1 defeat away to Ferencváros, and Ararat-Armenia have also struggled badly. The away price is 4.5600, reflecting uncertainty, but the model still makes the visitors the likeliest winner.
Both Teams To Score1.9500
Both teams to score: Yes
The model gives Both Teams To Score a 53.5% probability. Torreense have conceded in each of their three Europa League matches, while Ararat-Armenia have scored in one of their opening three fixtures despite losing all three. Both defences have shown clear weaknesses, and the available Yes price is 1.9500. A 2-1 away win is a logical match pattern.
Over/Under1.9900
Over 2.5 total goals
The model gives Over 2.5 a 53.8% probability. Torreense's league-phase games have produced 3, 3 and 5 goals, while Ararat-Armenia's first three matches ended 1-4, 1-3 and 0-4. Those results point to open football and vulnerable back lines. The Over 2.5 price is 1.9900, and it fits the expected away win with both sides scoring.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
Total Odds
17.70
Potential Winnings
$834.75
Ararat-Armenia to win
1x2 / Away
Both teams to score: Yes
Both Teams To Score / Yes
Over 2.5 total goals
Over/Under / Over 2.5
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*Odds available at time of writing.
Full Time Result
35%
Home
Fair odd 2.89
23%
Draw
Fair odd 4.30
42%
Away
Fair odd 2.38
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 78%
Under 22%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 56%
Under 44%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 34%
Under 66%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 54%
No 46%
First Half Winner
22%
Home
44%
Draw
34%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
14%
4%
3%
Draw
9%
14%
18%
Away
2%
4%
30%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
5.9
8.4
6.5
3.6
1
7.4
10.5
8.5
4.2
2
5.3
7.4
5.2
2.8
3
3.0
3.6
2.5
1.3
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
No head-to-head matches found
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 10:2 | 9 | WWW | |
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 8:0 | 9 | WWW | |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 8:1 | 9 | WWW | |
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 9:3 | 9 | WWW | |
| 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 4:1 | 9 | WWW | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 8:1 | 7 | WDW | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 9:3 | 7 | DWW | |
| 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 9:5 | 7 | DWW | |
| 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4:2 | 7 | DWW | |
| 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6:2 | 6 | WWL | |
| 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5:4 | 6 | LWW | |
| 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 5:6 | 6 | LWW | |
| 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 4:3 | 5 | DWD | |
| 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 8:3 | 4 | WDL | |
| 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 8:5 | 4 | DLW | |
| 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5:3 | 4 | LDW | |
| 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 4 | WDL | |
| 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3:4 | 4 | LWD | |
| 19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1:3 | 4 | WLD | |
| 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 5:8 | 4 | WDL | |
| 21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 3:6 | 4 | DLW | |
| 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4:3 | 3 | WLL | |
| 23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5:5 | 3 | WLL | |
| 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 4:5 | 3 | LWL | |
| 25 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3:4 | 3 | WLL | |
| 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3:4 | 3 | LLW | |
| 27 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 4:6 | 3 | LWL | |
| 28 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 4:7 | 3 | LLW | |
| 29 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 2:7 | 1 | DLL | |
| 30 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1:6 | 1 | LLD | |
| 31 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 2:9 | 1 | LDL | |
| 32 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 1:9 | 1 | DLL | |
| 33 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 2:7 | 0 | LLL | |
| 34 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 1:6 | 0 | LLL | |
| 35 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 3:9 | 0 | LLL | |
| 36 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 2:11 | 0 | LLL |
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