Toulouse to win
Toulouse sit 12th with 31 points, far better than Metz's 18th and 13 points. They thrashed Metz 4-0 recently. Odds at 2.01 show 49.75% chance. Metz lost 18 of 25 games.
Welcome to Extratips, your go-to spot for Ligue 1 match predictions! We're diving into Metz vs Toulouse on March 15, 2026, at 16:15. Metz host this crucial clash at Stade Saint-Symphorien.
Metz sit 18th with 13 points from 25 games. Just 3 wins, 4 draws, 18 losses. They're in relegation danger. Toulouse hold 12th with 31 points. 8 wins, 7 draws, 10 losses. Safer spot, but they want more.
Head-to-head: Toulouse rule lately. Oct 19, 2025: Toulouse 4-0 Metz. Jan 14, 2024: Metz 0-1 Toulouse. Draws before that. Under 2.5 goals in most recent H2H.
Metz home form (last 5): 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses. Weak attack, leaky defense.
Toulouse away form (last 5): 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses. Solid on road.
Top odds: Toulouse win at 1.95-2.01 (50% chance). Draw 3.30 (30%). Metz win 3.60-4.00 (25-28%). Bookies back visitors.
Metz strengths: Gritty home crowd. Gauthier Hein (6 goals). Weaknesses: 18 losses, concede 2.24 per game. No wins in 13.
Toulouse strengths: Better record vs Metz. Yann Gboho shines. 1.32 goals scored. Weaknesses: Inconsistent away.
Key factors? No big injuries noted. Metz desperate. Toulouse steady.
Storylines: 1. Metz survival scrap – must-win? High drama. 2. Toulouse H2H edge – repeat dominance? 3. Low-scoring affair – under trend?
Predictions ahead: Toulouse edge it. Low goals likely.
Total votes: 60
Toulouse sit 12th with 31 points, far better than Metz's 18th and 13 points. They thrashed Metz 4-0 recently. Odds at 2.01 show 49.75% chance. Metz lost 18 of 25 games.
Toulouse kept 8 clean sheets. H2H often low goals, under 2.5 common. Under 2.5 & No at 2.10 odds (47.62% implied). Metz fail to score often, 11 blanks.
14 of Toulouse's games under 2.25. H2H history shows unders. Odds 1.65 for under 2.5 (60.61% chance). Matches average low: Metz 0.88 scored, Toulouse defense solid.
Our picks
*Odds available at time of writing.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | +45 | 74:29 | 76 | LWWDW | |
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | +31 | 66:35 | 70 | WLWDD | |
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +15 | 52:37 | 61 | LWDWD | |
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | +13 | 53:40 | 60 | LLWWW | |
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | +18 | 63:45 | 59 | WWLDL | |
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +9 | 59:50 | 59 | LWLWW | |
| 7 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | +6 | 60:54 | 54 | LLWDD | |
| 8 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | +11 | 58:47 | 53 | WWDLW | |
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | -3 | 48:51 | 45 | LWDLW | |
| 10 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 47:46 | 44 | WWDLL | |
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -3 | 47:50 | 44 | WLWLW | |
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -12 | 43:55 | 39 | DLLLD | |
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | -19 | 29:48 | 36 | DDLLD | |
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | -12 | 32:44 | 35 | WLDDD | |
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | -10 | 34:44 | 34 | WWWLD | |
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -23 | 37:60 | 32 | DLDDD | |
| 17 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -23 | 29:52 | 23 | LWLLD | |
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | -44 | 32:76 | 17 | DLLDL |