Hoffenheim to win
Odds at 1.49 show 67% chance. Hoffenheim's home strength and Mainz's weak away form make this solid. History favors hosts too.
Welcome to Extratips, your go-to spot for sharp football predictions! We're diving into TSG Hoffenheim vs FSV Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga 2025/2026. Kickoff is tomorrow at 13:30. Hoffenheim hosts at their PreZero Arena.
Hoffenheim sits mid-table, fighting for Europe. They have 42 points from 27 games. Mainz lags at 15th with 28 points. Relegation bites close for them. Desperation fuels Mainz's fire.
Head-to-head? Last five: Hoffenheim won 2-1, drew 1-1, Mainz shocked 3-2, Hoffenheim 4-0 romp, then 2-2 thriller. Goals galore—average 3.4 per game.
Home form shines for Hoffenheim: Last five home—3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss. Mainz away? Rough: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses.
Hoffenheim strengths: Deadly attack (Baumgartner nets 12), solid home defense. Weaknesses: Leaky backline concedes 1.8 per game. Mainz strengths: Counter speed, set-pieces. Weaknesses: Poor away scoring, injuries hit Lee and Barreiro.
Key factors? Hoffenheim's new 4-3-3 tactic clicks. Mainz misses key mids. Weather clear, pitch prime.
Unique angles:
Top odds: Home win 1.49 (67%), Draw 4.00 (25%), Away 4.65 (22%). Bookies love Hoffenheim.
Predictions ahead—we see Hoffenheim edge it, but fireworks expected. Stay tuned!
Total votes: 55
Odds at 1.49 show 67% chance. Hoffenheim's home strength and Mainz's weak away form make this solid. History favors hosts too.
63% probability per odds. Last H2H averaged high goals. Hoffenheim leaky, Mainz counters well—expect both to net.
66% implied odds favor over 2.5. Patterns show goals in clashes. Fits home win with BTTS perfectly.
Our picks
*Odds available at time of writing.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | +86 | 122:36 | 89 | WWDWW | |
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | +36 | 70:34 | 73 | WWLWL | |
| 3 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | +19 | 66:47 | 65 | LWLWW | |
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | +22 | 71:49 | 62 | DWDDL | |
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +13 | 65:52 | 61 | LWDWW | |
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +21 | 68:47 | 59 | DLWWL | |
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | -6 | 51:57 | 47 | WLDLW | |
| 8 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -4 | 61:65 | 44 | DLLDL | |
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -16 | 45:61 | 43 | LWWDW | |
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -9 | 44:53 | 40 | WLWLD | |
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -14 | 44:58 | 39 | WWDLL | |
| 12 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -11 | 42:53 | 38 | WLWDD | |
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -14 | 40:54 | 38 | DWWLL | |
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -14 | 49:63 | 32 | LLDLD | |
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -23 | 37:60 | 32 | LLLDW | |
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | -24 | 45:69 | 29 | WLDDW | |
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -31 | 41:72 | 26 | LWDWL | |
| 18 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -31 | 29:60 | 26 | LLLLD |