EU
At a glance
The statistical model gives Viktoria Plzeň a 45% probability to beat Levski Sofia, with the draw at 25% and a Levski Sofia win at 30%.
The model estimates a 50% probability of more than 2.5 goals in Viktoria Plzeň vs Levski Sofia.
The model puts the probability that both Viktoria Plzeň and Levski Sofia score at 51%.
Viktoria Plzeň vs Levski Sofia kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 19:00.
Viktoria Plzeň vs Levski Sofia: Europa League Prediction
Welcome to Extratips for the Europa League meeting at Doosan Aréna on 22 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:00. Viktoria Plzeň enter after a strong 3-0 league win over Mladá Boleslav, but their European start has brought defeats against Union Saint-Gilloise and Ferencváros. Levski Sofia began with a 0-1 loss to Salzburg before drawing 1-1 at NEC.
The clearest market signal favors Plzeň. Home odds reach 1.80, while Levski are priced at 4.20 and the draw at 3.87. The model gives the home side a 44.6% chance of victory, with Levski on 30.4%. It also gives 52.6% to both teams scoring and 50.5% to Over 2.5 goals.
Levski's domestic numbers are excellent: first place, 28 points from 10 matches, with 23 goals scored and only four conceded. Plzeň are listed 11th with 13 points from 10 games, though their home attack remains dangerous. No recent direct meetings are available, so this is a fresh European test.
The main storyline is clear: Plzeň need a response in Europe, while Levski arrive with confidence from their league campaign. Expect a lively contest, with the hosts slightly better placed to claim the points. A 2-1 Plzeň win fits the form, prices, and model outlook.
Viktoria Plzeň vs Levski Sofia Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Viktoria Plzeň a 45% win probability, Levski Sofia 30%, and the draw 25%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 51%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 50%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 78
TV Channels
Viktoria Plzeň vs Levski Sofia: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
1x21.80
Viktoria Plzeň to win.
The model gives Home a 44.6% probability. Viktoria Plzeň have home advantage, recently beat Mladá Boleslav 3-0, and the market lists home odds as short as 1.80. Levski Sofia lead their domestic table with 28 points from 10 matches, but their Europa League start includes a 0-1 loss to Salzburg and a 1-1 draw at NEC. No recent head-to-head meetings are listed, so this pick relies mainly on venue, form, and the stronger home price.
Both Teams To Score
Both teams to score: Yes.
The model gives Yes a 52.6% probability. Viktoria Plzeň have shown attacking threat, scoring three against Mladá Boleslav and three away at Artis Brno, while also conceding in recent league defeats and a 2-1 loss at Ferencváros. Levski Sofia scored in their latest 1-1 draw at NEC after losing narrowly to Salzburg. The balance suggests chances at both ends, although no bookmaker BTTS odds are available.
Over/Under1.79
Over 2.5 total goals.
The model gives Over 2.5 a 50.5% probability. The available market offers 1.79 for Over 2.5, compared with 2.01 for Under 2.5. Viktoria Plzeň have produced open results such as 2-3, 3-0, and 1-2, while Levski Sofia's recent European games finished 0-1 and 1-1. With home pressure, both teams scoring slightly favored, and Plzeň's uneven defense, three goals is a reasonable lean.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
Total Odds
3.22
Potential Winnings
$111.10
Viktoria Plzeň to win.
1x2 / Home
Over 2.5 total goals.
Over/Under / Over 2.5
#ad
*Odds available at time of writing.
Full Time Result
45%
Home
Fair odd 2.23
25%
Draw
Fair odd 3.99
30%
Away
Fair odd 3.33
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 74%
Under 26%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 50%
Under 50%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 28%
Under 72%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 51%
No 49%
First Half Winner
33%
Home
40%
Draw
28%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
26%
4%
4%
Draw
16%
14%
10%
Away
2%
4%
20%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
7.6
7.7
4.7
2.2
1
10.7
11.5
6.9
2.6
2
7.5
8.7
4.7
2.1
3
4.4
4.1
2.9
1.1
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
No head-to-head matches found
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 7:1 | 6 | WW | |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6:0 | 6 | WW | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6:1 | 6 | WW | |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 7:3 | 6 | WW | |
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 5:1 | 6 | WW | |
| 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 4:0 | 6 | WW | |
| 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 5:2 | 6 | WW | |
| 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 5:3 | 6 | WW | |
| 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3:1 | 6 | WW | |
| 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3:1 | 6 | WW | |
| 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 5:2 | 4 | DW | |
| 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4:1 | 4 | DW | |
| 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 2:1 | 4 | WD | |
| 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 1:0 | 4 | WD | |
| 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6:3 | 3 | LW | |
| 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4:2 | 3 | WL | |
| 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4:3 | 3 | WL | |
| 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3:2 | 3 | LW | |
| 19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 | LW | |
| 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 | WL | |
| 21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 1:4 | 3 | LW | |
| 22 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2:3 | 1 | DL | |
| 23 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2:3 | 1 | DL | |
| 24 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1:2 | 1 | LD | |
| 25 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1:2 | 1 | DL | |
| 26 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 0:3 | 1 | LD | |
| 27 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -5 | 1:6 | 1 | DL | |
| 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1:3 | 0 | LL | |
| 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1:3 | 0 | LL | |
| 30 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 2:5 | 0 | LL | |
| 31 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 1:5 | 0 | LL | |
| 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 1:5 | 0 | LL | |
| 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 2:7 | 0 | LL | |
| 34 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 2:7 | 0 | LL | |
| 35 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0:5 | 0 | LL | |
| 36 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -8 | 0:8 | 0 | LL |
October 22, 2026
Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen
Dinamo Zagreb
NEC Nijmegen
16:45
Dinamo ZagrebNEC NijmegenUnion Saint-Gilloise vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Union Saint-Gilloise
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
16:45
Union Saint-GilloiseHapoel Be'er ShevaLech Poznań vs Sunderland
Lech Poznań
Sunderland
16:45
Lech PoznańSunderlandSturm Graz vs Olympique Marseille
Sturm Graz
Olympique Marseille
16:45
Sturm GrazOlympique MarseilleJuventus vs Rennes
Juventus
Rennes
16:45
JuventusRennesArarat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar
Ararat-Armenia
AZ Alkmaar
16:45
Ararat-ArmeniaAZ AlkmaarFerencvárosi vs Torreense
Ferencvárosi
Torreense
16:45
FerencvárosiTorreenseOFI vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen
OFI
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
16:45
OFIBayer 04 LeverkusenTSG Hoffenheim vs Olympique Lyonnais
TSG Hoffenheim
Olympique Lyonnais
19:00
TSG HoffenheimOlympique LyonnaisOmonia Nicosia vs Benfica
Omonia Nicosia
Benfica
19:00
Omonia NicosiaBenfica